Biden strengthened Alliancen in Asia - survive Trump's next term?
Biden strengthened Alliancen in Asia - survive Trump's next term?
For the friends of America in Asia, the uncertainty, which is connected to the upcoming return of Donald Trump into the White House, comes at an unfavorable time. China has its military and its nucleares arsenal Implementation of territorial demands in the South China Sea and opposite Taiwan. North Korea has its hostile rhetoric tightens the development of his illegal nuclear program. Both countries have their Alliances expanded with Russia, while this in the war against Ukraine fights and combine Asia with the broken peace in Europe.
US security policy in the Asian-Pacific room
For decades, the United States has been supporting the security of its allies in the region, where there are more active American soldiers abroad than somewhere else in the world. Tens of thousands of soldiers are stationed on extensive bases in the South Korea and Japan contracting states, countries that can expect support from the USA together with the Philippines and Australia in the event of attack.
These countries are now preparing for the return of an American leader who complained about allies, who in his opinion paid too little for defense, has committed themselves to autocrats and has called for an “America first” policy for global obligations.
questions about future US politics
Many questions about Trump concern the US-connected leaders in Asia, according to observers in the region. Will Trump request more defense spending than the allies can afford? Could he take drastic measures and deduct US troops if these claims are not met? Will the businessman, who became the leader, conclude agreement with China's leader Xi Jinping, North Korea's Kim Jong Un or Russia's Vladimir Putin, who undermine the interests of the US allies?
Alternatively, he could strengthen the US alliances and be a harder opponent for America's enemies. In the shadow of this uncertainty, the leaders in the region strive to establish strong ties to the notorious moody coming US president, who is known to link his foreign policy with personal relationships.economic effects on Asia
Many observe the threat of President Trump, the largest economy in the world with 10%tariffs to prove all imports and over 60%tariffs on goods from China. Such measures could have significant economic effects for all of Asia. While Trump's inauguration is approaching in January, the governments in Asia also face existential questions of how Trump will manage US security relationships with friends and rivals and support his allies if necessary.
The role of US alliances after World War II
After the Second World War, a network of US alliances was set up worldwide to serve as a strong deterrent against another global war. An important goal was to prevent more countries from becoming nuclear powers by being under the umbrella of US arsenals.
In the eyes of many in Washington and Asia, these alliances have become even more decisive for geopolitical stability in Asian-Pacific, since the relationships in the region become conflict-loaded. China has expanded its security bonds to the NATO opponent Russia and is accused of enabling the war in Moscow by buying Russian exports and the provision of the necessary dual-use goods for defense.
The reactions of Asia on Trump's return
The countries in the region also observe exactly whether the Trump administration takes up the inheritance of bidens efforts to build up a “lattice work” network of US partnerships in Asia, which is part of “investing, aligning, competing” strategy to counter Beijing. Biden strengthened the cooperation with the Quad Group (India, Japan, Australia and the USA) and founded the Aukus partnership (Australia, United Kingdom and the USA) to equip Canberra with nuclear submarines.
Trump will, as an unpredictable force in the White House, may break off, maintain or even deepen these relationships. In the meantime, America's Asian allies will try to secure themselves against a possible decline in US support.
FAZIT
Overall, it remains to be seen how the geopolitical landscape will develop under the presidency of Donald Trump. The uncertainty about the US foreign policy and the ability of the United States to support their allies in an increasingly tense global situation will continue to raise great questions. While some countries hope for a positive development, others feel concerned about the possible changes in US politics.