Manager mood on record-low: uncertainty captures companies!

Manager mood on record-low: uncertainty captures companies!

Deutschland - In June 2025, the Safe index for the manager atmosphere shows a significant decline from +0.26 to -0.08 points. This development indicates a cooling of optimism among managers of German companies. The main cause of this decline is a more cautious tone in analyst conferences, the partial index of which fell from 1.42 to 0.85 points. Despite a stable mood in financial reports, which moved from -1.01 to -0.98 points, unecity and negative expectations shape business strategies worldwide.

Analyst conferences are used crucially to communicate expectations of future business and economic conditions. The executives' statements reflect a reserved and defensive attitude that is characterized by tariffs, trade conflicts and persistent global uncertainties. Florian Heider, scientific director of Safe, emphasizes the careful attitude that companies take due to geopolitical tensions and the associated risks.

uncertainty at record high

The measure of uncertainty is currently 1.71 points and thus reaches a record high. The analyst conferences between March and May gave mixed signals: While negative terms such as "negative effects" and "difficult market" were often used, there were also positive names such as "strong growth". Some companies report solid results, but warn of volatility and macroeconomic risks.

The increase in terms such as "declining income" and "dollar weakness" compared to previous conferences illustrates the challenges with which companies are confronted. Despite these economic difficulties, there are positive prospects in certain sectors, such as in the agricultural sector, where some companies are still optimistic, even if demand is weakened.

the safe index and its meaning

The Safe index measures the mood of executives of listed companies in Germany every month and is based on an automated text analysis of positive and negative statements in their reports and conferences. This analysis includes German companies from DAX, MDAX, SDAX and TECDAX and has been continuously carried out since 2003. The underlying text analysis tool captures the difference between positive and negative words in relation to the total number of words in the transcripts.

While the economy continues to fight uncertainties, the safe index shows the monthly changing mood of the decision-makers in the corporate world. The next publication of the index is expected on July 9, 2025, followed by further appointments during the year.

Overall, the current findings illustrate the importance of data and its analysis in business psychology. This discipline plays a crucial role when it comes to understanding and predicting behavior and decisions in economic contexts. The demand for well -founded, empirically based decisions is growing. This requires constant learning and adaptation in dealing with psychological factors in business processes, just as research in business psychology suggests.

Current developments in the business area show that a conscious and informed decision -making process, supported by scientific knowledge, for which companies is crucial in order to successfully navigate in an increasingly complex environment.