Trump's trade threats endanger the world and indicate a second term

Trump's trade threats endanger the world and indicate a second term

global unrest that is spread over social media are back. Between 2017 and 2021, Donald Trump held the world on the edge while waiting for his next step. They wondered if his roar was only a bluff, a push for a deal or a turning point in history while he sowed chaos to get his opponents out of balance. These days are now back, less than eight weeks before the start of his second term.

Trump's threat of new trade wars

The Online threats of the designated president on Monday with Canada, Mexiko and China transformed the United States into an actor of instability who can plunge a foreign friend or enemy into a crisis in a matter of seconds. Trump explained that America’s two neighbors in the west hemisphere would be punished if they did not stop the flow of undocumented migrants and fentanyl across their borders. He also called for China to set the deliveries of the drug fabric.

could Trump be serious with massive tariffs?

The first major global controversy has raised questions since its re -election that will shape the character of his second term. Is Trump really interested in introducing massive damps that could increase the prices for American consumers at short notice? Finally, his re -election was partially supported by the frustration of voters on inflation and increasing costs for living space and food. Or does the designated president look at his life and politics as a large real estate business and take an extreme position to create scope for modifications that could polish up his negotiating skills?

Trump's power game and the risk

A third option is that Trump feels liberated from his election victory and is determined to continue driving his project "America First" than in the first term in which his impulsive instincts were often slowed down by established employees. Many of his voters feel a deep dislike of the political, economic, trade policy and diplomatic systems that have harmed them financially and that serve above all of the US and global elite. You want your Maga hero to tear down these systems without knowing exactly what could take in their place.

Trump's challenges towards his opponents

Trump's recent warning of 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports and a further increase of 10% to Chinese goods was the last indication that the designated president plans to act quickly. This caused excitement in Ottawa, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau immediately contacted Trump to have a "good conversation". The new Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum also reacted immediately and warned of a reasonable counter -reaction to the Trump tariffs after January 20th.

The global trade order in the scale

Trump's trade war rhetoric shows that he sees the USA in the world as an opponent that can be won against or lose. There are hardly any friends in his worldview, just enemies. It is acceptable for a great power like the United States to play its natural advantages to dominate smaller neighbors, even if they are allies. Nevertheless, Trump realistically has to assess his opponents both north and south of the border. Trudeau is politically weak and his liberal influence could be endangered by the upcoming elections. Canada and Mexico are highly dependent on the trade in the USA, which may forced them to concessions. Sheinbaum, on the other hand, could be ready to defend itself against perceived coercion by the new US president.

an uncertain future for international relationships

The example of China is special. Trump significantly increased his aggressive attitude towards China during his first term. The signs are on a confrontation that goes beyond mere negotiation tactics. It remains uncertain how the international community will react to Trump's first acts and whether we will soon see whether this president acting as "Alpha-Disruptor" actually wants to bring about a profound change.

Thanks to Trump's early setting of expectations, the world will soon find out how serious it is with his announcements.