AI predicts: Spain clears the 2025 women's European Championship!
AI predicts: Spain clears the 2025 women's European Championship!
Schweiz, Land - On July 1, 2025, the European Football Ball in Switzerland is eagerly awaited. A research team, including from the University of Innsbruck, has already simulated the upcoming European Championship 100,000 times on the computer. These simulations show that the Spanish national team goes to the tournament as a clear favorite, with a probability of winning of 27.2 %. Other strong contenders for the title are Germany (23 %), France (17.6 %) and England (17.2 %). All other teams are clearly behind these four teams, report LAOLA1.at.
The underlying model is based on a hybrid machine learning methodology that combines statistical models with betting odds. Achim Zeileis from the Institute for Statistics at the University of Innsbruck points out that the actual outcome of the EM can deviate from the forecasts. Interestingly, the same model of England predicted the European Champion of the EM 2022.
favorites and outsiders
In addition to the predictions of the University of Innsbruck, the Opta supercomputer carried out more than 10,000 simulations in order to evaluate the success of the participants. This results in a slightly different picture. Here, too, Spain is mentioned as a favorite with 24.8 %, followed by England (16.1 %), France (15.3 %) and Germany (14.8 %). Compared to these four teams, the outsider chances of the other teams are relatively low.
- Sweden: 6.0 %
- Netherlands: 5.4 %
- Denmark: 3.6 %
- Italy: 3.2 %
- Norway: 3.2 %
- Island: 2.1 %
- Switzerland: 2.0 %
- Portugal: 1.4 %
- Belgium: 0.9 %
- Finland: 0.8 %
- Poland: 0.2 %
- Wales: 0.1 %
Spain enjoys over eight percentage points ahead of England. In addition, the chances of reaching the quarter -finals are promising for the favorites. According to the calculations, the teams already have an 87.7 %chance of reaching the quarter -finals: Spain (87.7 %), England (73 %), France (71.6 %) and Germany (77.3 %). Norway can also expect a probability of 63.7 %, despite the weaker overall rating.
The role of Austria
The Austrian women's team will take a role in spectators in this tournament, without the highest chances of winning. Compared to the favorite teams, it will hardly be mentioned in the simulated scenarios.
For deeper statistics and analyzes for the European women's European Championship, kicker.de offer a lot of information that interest fans and analysts alike.
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