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Tehran reacts aggressively to US air bases to maintain reputation
At the weekend, the US Army carried out air strikes to three Iranian nuclear facilities, which Iran reacted with a targeted attack on the Al Udeid air base in Qatar. This basis had previously been evacuated, which became public through satellite recordings and corresponding reporting in the media. The Al Udeid base is the most important US military base in the region and houses the Central ...
Tehran reacts aggressively to US air bases to maintain reputation
At the weekend, the US Army carried out air strikes to three Iranian nuclear facilities, which Iran reacted with a targeted attack on the Al Udeid air base in Qatar. This basis had previously been evacuated, which became public through satellite recordings and corresponding reporting in the media. The Al Udeid base is the most important US military base in the region and houses the Central Command. In 2020, the drone was started from this basis, which killed the high -ranking Iranian military leader General Qasem Soleimani. This answer Iran was apparently designed to de escalate the situation.
preparations and announcements
The first indications of a possible Iranian attack came when the US embassy in Doha, Qatar, issued an emergency report for "security accommodation" for US citizens. In a further step, Qatar closed his airspace about an hour before the alleged dozdrockets were fired by Iran. This happened under advantageous conditions for Iran, since these shorter rockets are not as worn out as the medium -range missiles that were used against Israel last week.
The reaction of Irans
In order not to escalate the situation, the National Security Council of Iran said shortly after the attack that the number of fired rockets was "as high as the number of bombs used in the attacks on the Iranian nuclear facilities". This self -presentation as a proportionate answer illustrates that the attack was "no danger to our friendly and fraternal country Qatar and its noble people".
tactics of retaliation
Tehran's method of retaliation without massive counterattacks has already proven itself. After the death of Soleimani, Iran informed the Iraqi government about the upcoming rocket stroke on the Al Asad air base, which minimized the number of US injuries. The reaction to Israel's targeted killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was also communicated in advance.
a repetitive pattern
"We knew that they would react. They had a similar reaction to Soleimani," said a high -ranking official of the White House on Monday evening. There seems to be a certain pattern. But every time this tactic is used, Iran's military position continues to weaken. Iran has lost important military leaders and control of his airspace, which led to unimaginable attacks on its prestigious nuclear systems by Israel and the USA.
a changed ratio of power
These developments are a clear sign of power -political shifts. Iran apparently has to display its strength in a controlled presentation of reserved and subdued anger. In contrast, the United States and Israel continue to break taboos and thus undermine Iran's position as a big power within a very short time.
The remaining red lines
There is currently only one real red line that could exceed both the United States and Israel - the direct attack on the top leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. However, this could be considered unclear, since there is a likelihood that this octogenic theocrat would be replaced by a younger hardliner who is more willing to let Iran's deterrent muscle play. It could be wise to accept the toothless retribution actions, while Tehran is gradually losing influence.The search for diplomacy
Every statement of the Iran's anger confirms its slow loss of power. Instead of an aggressive increase in armaments, it seems that Iran hopes that his anger according to the heer can appeal to the remaining hardliners. There could even be the desire to return to diplomacy, whereby talks are necessary to limit the nuclear program and the stocks on ballistic rockets, which were apparently greatly decimated compared to what they were just ten days ago