SPÖ clear favorite: First extrapolation for the Vienna election 2025 published!

SPÖ clear favorite: First extrapolation for the Vienna election 2025 published!

On April 27, 2025, the first trend forecast for the upcoming Vienna election was published, which gives significant indications of the course of today's local council and district representation elections. According to the recent results of Foresight and Peter Hajek, the Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) will win the election with 37 percent of the vote as a clear winner. At 23.5 percent, the FPÖ can secure an improvement compared to previous elections, while the space for the third strongest force remains open in the race.

According to the forecast, the Greens receive 12.5 percent, while the ÖVP drops to 11.5 percent. The NEOS bring it to 8.5 percent. The success of the KPÖ/Links with 4 percent and the HC Strache team at 1.5 percent is probably not enough to move into the Vienna City Council. The fluctuation range of the trend forecast is a maximum of ± 3.0 percentage points, which entails a certain uncertainty with regard to the exact outputs.

Coalition options and majority of mandate

The possibility of a coalition of SPÖ and Neos currently seems to be a long way off, since the two parties cannot achieve a majority of mandate together. Alternatives to form a government coalition could represent the cooperation between the SPÖ and the ÖVP as well as between the SPÖ and the Greens. These options are discussed extensively in the analyzes of the current political landscape.

The creation of the trend forecast is based on a wide database. With approximately 3,600 interviews with voters in Vienna, including 2,000 online surveys and 1,600 telephone interviews, comprehensive insights into the voters were gained. This method contributes to the accuracy of the forecasts which Kontrast.at regularly updated and analyzes.

Election interests of the population

In addition to the election results, a survey on the wishes of the citizens to the upcoming government shows that the topic of taxes for super -rich is important for 12% of the respondents. There are also 9% more money for health and 8% cheaper energy prices. Openness for environmental issues can be seen in the wishes of more investments in climate protection and an improvement in public transport.

These aspects reflect the current need of Viennese voters to be able to react appropriately to socio -political and ecological challenges. The future government will probably influence the result of this survey, which counts a total of 47,202 votes and embodies the opinions of numerous voters.

The first extrapolation for the Vienna election is expected at 6:00 p.m. and could result in further exciting developments in local politics. The expected results are pursued with tension, especially in view of the significant changes in voting favor between the parties.