SPÖ clear favorite: First projections for the 2025 Vienna election published!

SPÖ clear favorite: First projections for the 2025 Vienna election published!

On April 27, 2025, the first trend forecast for the upcoming Vienna election was published, which provides clear information about the course of today's local council and district council elections. According to the latest results from Foresight and Peter Hajek, the Austrian Social Democratic Party (SPÖ) will win the election as the clear winner with 37 percent of the vote. With 23.5 percent, the FPÖ secured an improvement over previous elections, while the place for the third strongest force in the race remains open.

According to the forecast, the Greens will receive 12.5 percent, while the ÖVP will fall to 11.5 percent. The NEOS reach 8.5 percent. The success of the KPÖ/Links with 4 percent and the HC Strache team with 1.5 percent is probably not enough to get into the Vienna city council. The fluctuation range of the trend forecast is a maximum of ±3.0 percentage points, which brings with it a certain degree of uncertainty regarding the exact outcomes.

Coalition possibilities and mandate majority

The possibility of a coalition between SPÖ and NEOS currently seems to be a long way off, as the two parties together cannot achieve a majority of seats. Alternatives to forming a government coalition could be cooperation between the SPÖ and the ÖVP as well as between the SPÖ and the Greens. These options are extensively discussed in analyzes of the current political landscape.

The creation of the trend forecast is based on a broad database. Comprehensive insights into voter sentiment were gained from around 3,600 interviews with eligible voters in Vienna, including 2,000 online surveys and 1,600 telephone interviews. This method contributes to the accuracy of the forecasts, which contrast.at regularly updates and analyzes.

electoral interests of the population

In addition to the election results, a survey of citizens' wishes for the incoming government shows that the issue of taxes for the super-rich is important to 12% of respondents. Furthermore, 9% would like more money for health and 8% would like cheaper energy prices. Openness to environmental issues is reflected in the desire for more investment in climate protection and an improvement in public transport.

These aspects reflect the current need of Viennese voters to be able to respond appropriately to socio-political and ecological challenges. The result of this poll, which counts a total of 47,202 votes and represents the opinions of many voters, is likely to have a strong influence on the future government.

The first projection for the Vienna election is expected at 6:00 p.m. and could lead to further exciting developments in local politics. The expected results will be followed with interest, especially given the significant changes in voter favorability between the parties.