Iran Plant Answer: Which military scenarios are imminent?

Iran Plant Answer: Which military scenarios are imminent?

In the middle of the continuing tensions in the Middle East, Iran is preparing for a possible reaction to the Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear goals. According to oe24 is considered a reaction of Tehrans, however, the exact form is unclear. Iran has several options in the hindquarters to respond to the threat.

One of the most immediate possibilities could be a direct military strike, with Iran using over 300 rockets and Kamikaze drones against Israel in spring. A similar scenario could possibly be repeated with greater intensity, since Tehran has an arsenal of ballistic rockets that can also achieve removed goals.

possibilities of Iranian reaction

Another aspect of the Iranian strategy could be retaliation over proxys. Iran-supported militias such as Hisbollah, Hamas and Huthi rebels could act as deputies and start attacks on Israeli cities as well as US bases or strategic goals in the Golf. Interestingly, the Hisbollah emphasized that it is currently not wanting to participate directly. The diplomatic retribution could affect political channels and lead to an escalation in international forums, accompanied by the mobilization of allied states against Israel.

A not negligible part of the Iranian reaction could be asymmetrical warfare. Among other things, this includes unconventional means such as terrorist attacks abroad against western institutions, attacks on cargo ships in the street of Hormus and targeted cyber attacks on critical infrastructure.

context of the conflicts

The situation is complicated by the aggressive foreign policy of Iran and its far -reaching nuclear program, which is considered the greatest threat to regional stability. As in an article by Degruyter , the goal of establishing a new regional order in which it takes up for preservation. The diplomatic efforts to ensure their influence have been further fueled since the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has been demolished in 2015. Iran has resumed uranium enrichment and could produce potentially weapon -capable uranium.

After the attack of Hamas on Israel on October 7, which triggered the current Middle East War, the Iranian regime welcomed the attack and called on the "continuation of the resistance", although direct participation in planning the attack was contradicted. Iran has delivered rockets and rocket technology to Hamas over the years.

The geopolitical situation is also influenced by the military cooperation between Iran and Russia. The inner unrest in Iran could lead to a change of regime in the long term, which in turn could influence the country's foreign policy aggressiveness.

The view of a great war is considered unlikely as long as Iran keeps its military activities covered. Nevertheless, he remains an important challenge for the stability in the Middle East, especially in view of the regional conflict lines that also include conflicts with Saudi Arabia. Class = "Source_3">