Trump talks cheap about Ukraine, but the Kremlin puts him on the test

Trump talks cheap about Ukraine, but the Kremlin puts him on the test

When it comes to the to end the statements and Social media posts by President Donald Trump meaningless. The chances of an early ceasefire and peace depend on whether he actually finds the courage to underpin his rhetorical attacks on President Vladimir Putin, which he expressed at the weekend with concrete deeds. The Kremlin, on the other hand, relies that he won't do that.

Trump's reaction to the aggressive offensive of Russia

The Kremlin rejected Trump's frustration about the most intense Russian drone attacks on Ukraine as signs of "emotional overload". Experiences show that Putin can play with the provocative statements of the US President. Finally, Trump's criticism of the Russian leader, whom he described on Monday, was associated with a characteristic instruction to the victim - Ukraine and President Wolodymyr Selenskyj.

Trump's possible options for action

Despite the continuing Russian attacks on civilians in Ukraine, it remains to be seen which steps will take Trump. The current circumstances could offer him the opportunity to put the embarrassing picture, constantly being covered by Putin. One option would be to impose new sanctions against Russia, which he had previously dismissed as a hindrance to diplomacy. He mentioned on Sunday in New Jersey that this could be “absolutely” considered.

The challenge for Trump

Another option that fears both Ukraine and its European allies is that Trump withdraws and argues that no side wants peace and it is time to retreat. In such a case, Russia would continue his war of wear and continue to attack civilians, which would lead to a devastating precedent for security in Europe and the commitment of the United States.

The argument for a determined US policy

A convincing reason why Trump could change his opinion is that his credibility is at stake after his daring predicts the End 24 hours could turn out to be a imagination. One option would be to introduce secondary sanctions against Russia that are aimed at financial institutions and companies that continue to do business with Moscow

The pressure on Trump and the reactions of the allies

The European allies of the United States observe exactly whether Trump puts his announcements into action. The French President Emmanuel Macron recently expressed that after talks he had the impression that he now realized that "President Putin told him on the phone that he was ready for peace" - but he lied. The allies seem to feel a moment when Trump could rethink after seeing for months as he undermines their efforts.

probability and skepticism towards Trump

However,

There are two problems with the assumption that Trump has finally done the short process with the Russian leader. First of all, he never tried to criticize Putin. Second, the cruelty of the Russian leader in the war is by no means new. It is risky to interpret Trump's statements without further analysis because they often serve a political purpose. Analysts emphasize that unique words are not sufficient and that determined action is required.

"Words are cheap and we are waiting for actions," said the former high-ranking US secretary service officer Beth Sanner.

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