Trump should build on Reagan at summit with Putin
Trump should build on Reagan at summit with Putin
The surprising news about a Trump-Putin-summit In the past week, one has the efforts of the USA, one To achieve ceasefire in Ukraine. At this crucial moment in which a presidential summit is due, the only result is a comprehensive ceasefire that President Trump has long demanded and which Ukraine accepted five months ago.
The summit: a chance or a failure?
If this ceasefire does not come about, the summit will be considered a failure, and peace will move far away for the foreseeable future. But what could enable an armistice? Not a symbolic meeting that Vladimir Putin gives the opportunity to get out of the sanctions and win time. Instead, Trump should take an example to President Ronald Reagan in Reykjavik.
The strategy of the "larger bear"
Trump: Use a strong position
Trump should not indulge in this game. From the beginning of his term in office, he consistently called for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire, and negotiations to terminate the war in the meantime. Ukraine agreed in March, and then Foreign Minister Rubio said: "Russian reciprocity is the key to achieving peace." Since then Russia only escalated and the attacks on Ukraine have started doubled.
Now Trump can demand a ceasefire from Putin from a position of strength. Last month he announced a new Ukraine policy: If Russia does not accept an armistice, this would lead to increasing and devastating economic sanctions against Russia and every buyer of Russian energy goods. So far he has enforced tariffs in India , the second largest buyer of these products to China. He shows that Russia's continued existence in the war will lead to continuous losses and economic pressure. Putin may confidently go to the summit, but behind him there is a million Russian military losses from his catastrophic invasion of Ukraine, including 250,000 deaths.
reykjavik as a role model
Against this background, Trump should be inspired by Reagan's portrait, which hangs behind his desk. In October 1986, Reagan met with the Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev in Reykjavik to talk about a de -escalation between the power blocks in the Cold War. Gorbachev brought well -prepared suggestions, while Reagan also massively urged a contract for the nuclear disarmament and was willing not to compromise his principles. When Gorbachev demanded that the United States give up the rocket defense system, Reagan brought the negotiating table to a standstill. The conversations failed, and both leaders diverge with serious expressions.The apprenticeship for Ukraine
As at the summit in Reykjavik, where the principles ultimately secured peace, Trump should also follow this approach in Alaska. Putin could try to influence Trump with promises about cooperation in other global matters - from Iran to China to trade questions. While the summit should mainly be about Ukraine, the Russians will do everything they can to distract the American side with various, non -related topics. They will provoke to give the impression that large powers can work together while the Ukraine remains in the background.
Trump should not get involved in patient negotiations on detailed cards and border shifts. Ukraine is not at the table, which means that it is potentially on the menu if Putin plans the pictures of herself and Trump with cards in hand. A ceasefire should be the starting point before there are detailed negotiations - and these are not feasible without Ukraine.
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