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Trump as a key player in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
In the Ukraine Russia conflict, everything revolves around Donald Trump. Who has Trump’s ear? An important call to Putin could have a decisive influence on the peace talks.
Trump as a key player in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
There is no doubt that the decisive struggle in the Ukraine conflict is currently not in the ventilation via Kiev or Dnipro, where the Russian drone attacks have increased drastically in the past few days. Likewise, the lengthy progress of the Russian army on the brutal front lines in eastern Ukraine will determine the outcome of the war, which is now in the third year.
struggle for influence in Washington
The crucial struggle, which rages between the warfare parties and their allies, takes place in the ear of US President Donald Trump, who is increasingly frustrated by the efforts to impart peace. Therefore, the phone call, which is to take place today with the Russian President Vladimir Putin, could be of crucial importance.
The role of the European Union
Moskau and Kiev both try to show that the other side is the real obstacle to peace, in the hope of pulling Trump's changeable opinion on her side at least at short notice. European representatives have announced that they are also talking to Trump before calling Putin. There are concerns that Trump's view of the conflict could be shaped by whom he last spoke.
The relationship between Trump and Putin
last month, after a conversation with the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj during the funeral of Pope Francis, Trump expressed some of his sharpest words to Putin by condemning the Russian leader for the rocket attack on Kiev. He added that he was not sure whether the Russian President was seriously interested in the end of the war.
Putin's strategic advantages
During the conversation, Putin-who refused to agree to the 30-day armistice demanded by Trump and accepted by Ukraine-has the ear alone. He could submit a large number of business offers, flattery or provocative arguments that he considers effective.The central role of Trump
Trump and Putin seem to share an unshakable conviction that only they themselves have personal authority and skills to end the Ukraine war, while the Europeans and the Ukrainians will ultimately do what is applied to them. The disappointed discussions in the Turkish city of Istanbul last week - the first direct negotiations between Russian and Ukrainian negotiators for years - seem to have underlined Trump's own meaning for central importance in a possible deal.
fears of Ukraine
The great fear of Ukraine is that the two guides could work out their own peace plan during the phone call, which they present President Trump, who then calls his Ukrainian counterpart Selenskyj. It is possible to try to implement Putin's conditions under the renewed pressure of withdrawing essential military and economic support from the United States.
Trump's influence on Russia
President Trump also has pressure against Russia if he decides to use them. In view of the increasing losses and a tense economy, the Kremlin undoubtedly wants to avoid an angry Trump to restore and possibly doubling US support for Ukrainian war.
challenge of the negotiations
However, the problem remains that neither Russia nor Ukraine are currently willing to accept the minimal conditions of each other or to compromise enough to satisfy the other side. However, this does not mean that conversations - whether directly, face to face or on the phone - are pointless. If nothing else, you can show how far the two sides are actually apart.an ongoing potential for conflict
What this could mean is that both Moscow and Kiev themselves are still ready to continue the fight even after a direct phone call with President Trump.