Wahl chaos in Germany: Merz wins, but the AfD doubles!

Wahl chaos in Germany: Merz wins, but the AfD doubles!

The political landscape of Germany has changed the Bundestag election 2025 massively. How krone.at reported, the Christian Democrats under Friedrich Merz were able to win a victory, but without impressive support. The SPD, which suffered greatly from the previous chancellorship, experienced a dramatic crash, while the alternative for Germany (AfD) was able to double its number of votes. A large coalition between the CDU and the SPD now seems inevitable, since both parties together have achieved a small surge of mandate in the Bundestag, which means that they could still form a government with less than 45 percent of the vote.

The right-wing printed forecasts and parliamentary reality

The election results also show a worrying trend: Despite years of efforts to marginalize the right scene, there is now a majority in the Bundestag on the right of the middle. Together with the 20 percent of the AfD and the approximately 4 percent of Free Democrats (FDP), which are no longer represented in the Bundestag, a solid majority could arise. However, the question remains open how this political constellation will be implementable. The CDU categorically excludes cooperation with the AfD, which is considerably complicated to the possibility of a stable majority alliance, such as Br.de noted.

Another aspect that must be taken into account is the structure of the Bundestag. For a majority, more than half of the 630 mandates, i.e. at least 316 votes. However, not only the number of votes is crucial, but also the number of factions that move into parliament. Forecasts indicate that at least four parties will be represented in the Bundestag: the Union, the AfD, the Greens and the SPD. In a scenario in which unforeseen factions move in, there could even be a very fragmented political landscape, similar to the situation in 2013, when the Union narrowly scraped the absolute majority despite good votes.