Dramatic week: Putin and experimental attack change the war in Ukraine

Dramatic week: Putin and experimental attack change the war in Ukraine

The last seven days have changed the lengthy conflict in Ukraine and at a breathtaking pace, shortly before the inauguration of Donald Trump in January. This week, a seismic escalation marks, which could quickly be lost in the tiredness of the war, which is why a summary is required.

escalation of the conflict

The White House publicly approved on Sunday that Ukraine can strike directly in Russia with the rockets delivered by the West. This happened promptly on Monday. On Thursday, Moscow replied with the use of an experimental medium-range missile that is achieved by hyperlicable speeds and is equipped with a multiple blazing head system, which is usually reserved for nuclear explosive heads. Putin claimed that the "Oreshnik" could handle all western air defense systems.

actions and reactions of the great powers

Both sides, i.e. the USA and Russia, described each other as ruthless. Washington desperately tries to influence the negative trend of the Ukrainian troops on the front, while Russia, as an aggressor, goes risky ways to restore the loss of their deterrence of the past three years. A direct conflict between the two great powers is unlikely, but both could get involved in the global struggle for Ukraine.

of peace and its consequences

A week ago there was still outrage about unexpected peace talks. Chancellor Olaf Scholz called Unilateral President Vladimir Putin, with which he ended the two -year isolation of the Kremlin chief from the most important western leaders. Scholz tried to become popular with pro-Russian voters in East Germany in front of the upcoming elections, but justified his call with the argument that if Trump wanted to speak to Moscow, Europe should also do so. The Ukraine and Poland reacted publicly with anger, while France and the United Kingdom rumbled.

The new rocket: Oreshnik

It is unclear whether the decisions of the White House are due to Scholz ’call, but the US government said that President Joe Biden's reversal of his months of delay was motivated by North Korean troops that join Russia. The specifications of Oreshnik are crucial for Putin's message. Although much remains unclear, most reviews agree that it is a new, possibly hypertic rocket that is used in non-nuclear variant.

The influence on Ukraine

Ukraine described the device as "KEDR", which was apparently first mentioned in Russian state media in 2021. The head of the Ukrainian military secret service, Yuri Budanov, said that it was a "medium -range ballistic rocket, a carrier of nuclear explosive heads". He pointed out that the use in non-nuclear version represents a warning signal that Russia had completely moved away from reality.

outlook and challenges

The coming weeks will show whether the use of Oreshnik is a unique message or a new tactic. Their use triggered concern in Kiev, especially after the sudden closure of the US message on Wednesday due to an air threat. The British Ministry of Defense recently pointed out that the front was more unstable than at any time since the invasion of what indicates the continuing difficulties of the Ukrainian troops on the front.

a dark winter

the bid administration may have no choice but to bring anti-personnel mines into play and announce more ammunition. But the changes are already taking place on the front lines. Without significant progress, Russia could keep the upper hand in a dark winter. Trump had accelerated the talks about peace negotiations, while the immediate reaction means a rapid advance to tighten the hot war towards the possible peace talks.