Trump plans Ukraine division: Important information at a glance
Trump plans Ukraine division: Important information at a glance
The situation in the Ukraine conflict may face a decisive turning point. President Donald Trump seems to be disappointed that he has not succeeded in implementing his promise to end the war. His proposal stipulates that Ukraine is supposed to give up areas in exchange for peace, including control over the Crimea, which Russia first annexed in 2014.
Current developments in the Ukraine conflict
currently Russia is checking almost 20% of Ukraine, which could be endangered by the current proposal of the United States. The United States consider to recognize the Crimea as part of Russia, although this would violate international law. Trump thinks that Putin would only have to set the fights to keep so much territory as a reward for annexation. If the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj does not get involved in a compromise, the United States has threatened to withdraw support for Ukraine.
Will Ukraine give up the Crimea?
Trump believes that this could be the case. In an interview with Time on April 22, he said: "The Crimea will stay with Russia. And Selenskyj understands that, and everyone understands that it has been part of them for a long time." Despite the moral indignation and sanctions, Russia has so far no serious consequences for the annexation of the Crimea, which took place in 2014. Trump's proposal for a ceasefire is based on the assumption that Russia will keep control of the Crimea.
Selenskyj publicly rejected the proposal to give up the Crimea. Nevertheless, other important Ukrainians, including the Mayor of Kiev Vitali Klitschko, show open to the idea that a temporary assignment of the Crimea may be necessary to achieve peace.
could a Crimean compromise solution lead to a peace plan?
David Ignatius, Columnist of the Washington Post, argues that if the two sides can overcome the Crimea topic, other important questions can also be clarified. This includes, among other things, whether European troops support Ukraine's security and whether the United States will continue to be present in order to possibly secure and operate a nuclear power plant.
The problem of the U.S. recognition of Crimea as Russian
Russia violated international law due to the annexation of Crimea, which Zelensky confirms not to give up the Crimea in his attitude. A recognition of the Crimea as a Russian territory would mean much more than just breaking international agreements. It would also violate the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in which the United States committed itself to respect the sovereignty and territorial boundaries of Ukraine.
The consequences of a crime exemption for international order
former Colonel Cedric Leighton said on CNN that a retention of the Crimea by Russia would destabilize the international order. He compares Putin's acting with the attacks of Nazi Germany in the 1930s. The Crimea was an integrative part of Ukraine for the Ukrainians after the collapse of the Soviet Union and is rich in natural resources.
What happens if Selenskyj does not give in?
It remains unclear what "withdraw" for the USA. The situation could also exacerbate whether the United States will stop or completely deduct its diplomatic efforts. Ukraine depends heavily on the military support of the United States, but has also mobilized its own resources and is increasingly relating to European countries. Experts assume that the Ukrainians would continue to fight without US help.
does Putin incentives to end the war?
Currently there is little incentive for Putin to end the conflict. Many analysts see Russia's interest in maintaining the status quo in order to preserve the relationship with the United States and to push Ukraine out of focus. A long-term focus of European countries, especially Germany, could play an important role in the Ukraine conflict in the future.
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