Syria: Fall of Assad - New terrorist risk or hope of peace?

Syria: Fall of Assad - New terrorist risk or hope of peace?

Kobane, Syrien - Syria stands on the abyss after the alleged fall of the regime of Bashar al-Assad. While some have hope for a new beginning, Syria expert Thomas Schmidinger warns of an overly premature return for refugees. The situation in the country is extremely confusing and even the conflict in the north has further intensified. Schmidinger emphasizes that the war is heated by the various interests and actors, such as the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), who already wants to march offensive in videos after Jerusalem. The conflict could only be overcome with a federal system and compromise solutions, which, however, represents an enormous challenge in the current fragmentation of the country, reported krone.at

fourth alarm bell. He recognizes the "deceptive calm" within the terrorist organization of Islamic State, which appears to be weakened by militarily, but still has the opportunity to return to the country's chaos. According to reports, the IS recently conquered strategic positions in the desert of Homs and Deir Ezor. Schmidinger adds that Kurdish forces are under immense pressure, both against IS and against the militias supported by Turkey. A critical scenario could occur if the Syrian National Army (SNA) supported by Turkey would try to overrun Kurdish areas, which could result in the release of IS fighters from prisons, as was the case in 2022 href = "https://www.20min.ch/story/syrien-truegerische-ruhe-professional--terrorrormiliz-is-von-assads-Sturz-103235506"> 20min.ch .

The geopolitical tensions continue to rise, while the EU faces the challenge of developing an active Syria policy to prevent future humanitarian disasters and waves of refugee. Without immediate measures, the region could slip into chaos and cause an even darker fate for Syria and the surrounding countries. If the Kurdish forces protect the areas effectively, they could contain the offensive of the IS in the short to medium term, but the risk remains high.