Elections 2025: Every vote counts – coalitions in chaos!

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On February 23, 2025, OE24 will examine the possible coalition variants after the early federal election in Germany.

Elections 2025: Every vote counts – coalitions in chaos!

An exciting period of political uncertainty awaits Germany with the upcoming federal elections, which were brought forward after the last coalition collapsed. Loud oe24 The future formation of a government will depend crucially on how voters allocate their votes in the vote. Coalitions are almost inevitable because no party expects an absolute majority. A quarter of the seats could unexpectedly go to the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), but it is excluded by other parties, making it a potential disruptor.

Requirements for the majority in the Bundestag

In order to achieve a majority in the Bundestag, the parties need a total of at least 316 out of 630 seats. Given the possibility that up to eight factions could be represented, the allocation of votes is complex. BR.de emphasizes that the outcome of the election will be strongly influenced by how many of the remaining parties enter parliament as parliamentary groups. These include, among others, the Union, the AfD, the Greens and the SPD.

There could also be unexpected coalitions, including even a minority government or a tripartite alliance, which has rarely been practiced in Germany in the past. In addition, the votes and the resulting distribution of mandates will be decisive for which political alliances are possible. Friedrich Merz, the Union's top candidate, would have to find possible partners in order to enable stable government, unlike his predecessor Olaf Scholz, who was previously able to rely solely on the SPD and the Greens.