Ukraine calls for security guarantees from the USA and Europe

Ukraine calls for security guarantees from the USA and Europe

cnn reported the urgency of security guarantees, a topic that the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj in a Thusing dispute with the US President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance in the White House repeatedly emphasized. In the current geopolitical situation, the central question arises: How can the Ukraine ensure that Russia Vladimir Putin remains true to a possible ceasefire agreement and does not resume the fights in a year or two? How can the country be protected from the tireless ambitions of its more powerful neighbor?

Trump's perspective on security guarantees

Trump has smiled at Selenskyjs to openly smiled at security guarantees. "Safety is so easy, that makes about 2 % of the problem," he said during a dispute in the Oval Office. His answers on the overarching topic of Ukrainian security remained vague, apart from his claim that Europeans could regulate this themselves, and that no US support is required.

"It shouldn't be so difficult to make a deal," said Trump on Monday, just a few hours before the announcement of a stop at US arms deliveries to Ukraine. He also indicated that the presence of American companies, the Rare earth Minerals in Ukraine would be sufficient to keep Russia in chess. "I don't think someone is creating themselves when we are there with many workers," he said.

reactions of German and European politicians

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio could represent a more realistic view. In a Interview with Fox News He explained that" The Ukraine really needs a shredding mechanism ... To make it expensive if someone tries to attack them in the future ”. He added that this didn't just have to be done with the USA; Europeans could also participate.

other US officials have stated that the United States will not be part of this deterrent mechanism. Defense Minister Pete Hegseth emphasized that European troops in Ukraine would not enjoy protection as part of the NATO principle of collective security. The national security advisor Mike Waltz has made it clear that the question of security guarantees "is clearly the responsibility of the Europeans".

The way to a European solution

On Sunday, European leaders met in London to seek solutions for Ukraine and long -term answers to break down transatlantic relationships. "This is a unique event for the security of Europe," said British Prime Minister Keir Strander and demanded a "coalition of the willing". However, Wolfgang Ischinger, a former German ambassador to Washington, warned that "Europe both the necessary military skills as well as the political will and unity" are missing to bear this load.

Although President Emmanuel Macron optimistically said that the negotiations could take “several weeks”, he also found that it would be “very difficult” to enforce a ceasefire along the 1,000 kilometer front line. Peace soldiers would have to operate in a difficult area of forests and fields, surrounded by bombed cities and poor traffic conditions.

The challenges of peace insurance

The British and French have signaled to be part of a post -war mission to maintain peace. Australia has also expressed interest in a role, but the reaction of other European countries remained reserved. The outgoing German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that "this requires an assignment that many are not yet adequately prepared."

Straße emphasized that the support of other countries was ready, but did not give any names. He emphasized that the "use of strong US support" must require, but this is by no means safe.

The estimates about the size of this proposed group fluctuate strongly as well as the ideas for their mission and powers. Would it be a small group that detered violations due to a more robust reaction? Or a fully equipped mission that can defend itself?

The role of the drones and weapons

A UN insert seems unlikely that "Russia as a affected nation and the constant member of the UN Security Council would have to agree to posting," warned experts. The use of drones and modern weapons requires that the peace security force has electronic warfare, drone defense and intelligence skills. "If Russian troops fire long-standing floors on French or British soldiers, this could lead to a NATO war with Russia," warned Mick Ryan, an expert in military strategies.

on the way to realistic solutions

Matthew Schmidt, professor of national security and political science at the University of New Haven, said that realistic security guarantees need three components: a substantial international presence on site, US support and a modernized and extended Ukrainian army. Up to 100,000 peace guards in connection with a Ukrainian army of around 200,000 soldiers could serve as a deterrent.

Selenskyj emphasizes that the "best security guarantee is a strong Ukrainian army", which must also have modern long -range missiles. But as long as the Kremlin is not forced to negotiate, these ideas remain unrealistic. The Russian Foreign Minister has already stated that the presence of NATO troops in Ukraine was "categorically unacceptable".

The question remains whether the international community can find to move the Kremlin into a compromise. The long history of deception and promise on the part of Russia represents the greatest obstacle to permanent peace.