Ukrainian ceasefire is supposed to force Putin to go to the war towards Trump
Ukrainian ceasefire is supposed to force Putin to go to the war towards Trump
in Kiev, Ukraine, there will be a proposal on the table that the Kremlin cannot reject or accept. However, this could make him an uncomfortable choice and thus the true interest of Russia's President Wladimir Putin reveal.
Europe's initiative for peace talks
The leaders of Europe have dealt with the question of whether can lead to tangible results to make Moscow a stop of violence, while the aggressions could tend to increase in the coming summer months.
30 days for Ukraine
This proposal gives the largest army in Europe - Ukraine - a little more than 30 hours to prepare their front forces for a perhaps a month that may last. In the hope of weeks of serious negotiations in which the borders of the country are decided.
risks for European security
In the end, Ukraine, France, the United Kingdom, Germany and Poland were faced with a clear decision: Public loss of patience on the part of the Trump administration-partly with Moscow, partly unjustified with Kiev-the risk that the white house simply "continues". This could mean that the US aid for Ukraine, as well as the efforts for a peaceful solution, are eliminated-a potential catastrophe for European security.diplomatic efforts at a high level
The clear diplomatic efforts of President Emmanuel Macron from France, Prime Minister Keir Strauber from the United Kingdom and of course the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj have brought the White House into a position in which it is forced to support European endeavors to control the outcome of the greatest war since the 1940s.
reactions of the Kremlin and possible strategies
The Kremlin must now react to the proposal. The earlier answers such as "We have to talk about the nuances" are no longer sufficient. The Kremlin could agree to the proposal, but staged an increase in violence and blame Ukraine. Alternatively, Moscow could question certain elements of the proposal or simply escape the proposal.
a tactical balancing act for Ukraine
The coming weeks are crucial for Ukraine and its allies. Questions remain unanswered: Will Kiev be able to commit to his armed forces not to defend himself in the event of an attack? If the United States is supposed to monitor the ceasefire, are you actually able to monitor hundreds of kilometers on front lines? Precise evidence of Moscow violations will be crucial in order to be able to react appropriately to the inevitable wave of Russian disinformation and accusations.
costs of the lack of action
The costs for Kyiv and Europe in the coming month could be significant. The Ukraine could lose regional gains, while their troops react less violently to Russian attacks during the ceasefire. The unity of Europe, which was visible in Kiev today and was supported by more than a dozen other countries from New Zealand to Canada, could suffer a lot, especially if American support for Ukraine wanes.
Future view: Looking for a peace
Ukraine and its European allies strive to clarify whether Putin is actually interested in any form of peace. However, the path there is unclear and shaped by Putin's manipulations. At this critical point, the leading heads of the five largest armies in Europe in Kiev seem to have been convinced that Putin does not want peace and will not really look at a month of calm.
The coming weeks will be a challenge to consolidate this knowledge and to convince Trump to take a more consistent attitude towards Russia than his predecessor Joe Biden. The path that the European leaders see for the coming months indicates an escalation of the war in which Putin violates an armistice and occupied with "massive sanctions", while Europe intensifies its military support for Ukraine.
Kommentare (0)