Development of unemployment: where it looks the worst in 2025!

Die deutsche Wirtschaft steht 2024 vor großen Herausforderungen, die Arbeitslosenzahlen könnten 2025 ansteigen. Prognosen zeigen regionale Unterschiede.
The German economy faces major challenges in 2024, and unemployment figures could increase in 2025. Forecasts show regional differences. (Symbolbild/DNAT)

Development of unemployment: where it looks the worst in 2025!

The German economy faces enormous challenges that affect not only the jobs, but also the future of employment in the country. According to a current survey, it shows that 43 percent of companies are planning to reduce jobs in the coming years. The Federal Employment Agency expects the terrifying number of three million unemployed in 2025. This situation is tightened by increasing energy prices and the lack of specialists that make it difficult for companies to occupy their vacancies even in the times of the shortage of skilled workers.

In a forecast of the marketing and service company Pens.com, however, it is expected that the unemployment rate will drop overall by 2030. The strongest declines, up to 49 percent, are forecast in Saxony, while the Saarland forms the bottom with a decline of only 11 percent. This could indicate that the economy is more resistant in some federal states than in others. In particular, the federal states such as Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg stand out through relatively low unemployment rates, with 155 and 179 unemployed per 10,000 inhabitants in 2025, while Bremen and Berlin will have the worst values ​​with 573 and 418 unemployed per 10,000 inhabitants. These figures are based on the last published data of the Federal Employment Agency.

forecasts and challenges

Although the forecasts appear positive for many federal states, there are also some dark aspects. The decline in unemployment is not only due to an increase in employment, but also to a decreasing population of working age, especially in the eastern federal states. Demographic trends show that the population in regions such as Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Brandenburg could shrink by up to 25 percent by 2045. This harbors the risk that despite falling unemployment, the challenges for filling new jobs will increase.

It remains to be seen how the economic situation will develop and what measures are taken to avoid loss of job. According to the statistics on the unemployment rate according to federal states, it becomes clear that there will be strongly employment -promoting projects in cities such as Dresden and Leipzig that are necessary in order to counteract the decrease in jobs in the regions concerned. In order to cushion demographic change, immigration will also be urgently required.

For detailed information on the unemployment situation in Germany, see the analysis of Merkur href = "https://de.statista.com/statistik/studie/36651/umfrage/arbeitslosenquote-in-deutschland-nach-bundenlaendern/"> Statista .

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OrtMünchen, Deutschland
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