Trump in the terminal: Kelly's tough attack saves Harris in the election campaign!

Trump in the terminal: Kelly's tough attack saves Harris in the election campaign!

A dramatic turning point in the 2024 presidential campaign: Just two days after the apparently comfortable leadership of Donald Trump, the devastating criticism of his former boss of the staff, John F. Kelly, ensures a sudden swing for Kamala Harris. Kelly describes Trump as a "unpredictable amateur" in a revelation article and warns of his neo -fascist tendencies. This explosive communication not only changed Harris' downward trend, but also makes questions arise as to whether it is already too late.

The latest forecasts by the renowned data scientist Thomas Miller show that Trump is currently leading 346 to 192 votes - this is a lead of 154 votes! In just one month, the electorate changed dramatically, from Harris ’initial dominance with 337 votes back to Trump. Miller, who predicted earlier election forecasts perfectly, relies on betting markets in his analysis and took into account the quotas of predictit in order to record the most likely election outputs. He realizes that the current odds correlate with the actual voting result, even though he also warns that these values do not reflect the factors of the voter base.

The shock and the reaction

Kelly's statements have impressed Harris ’chances at Predictit impressively: On October 23, she won 22 votes and postponed the balance to 214 votes, while Trump fell to 324. Harris takes the opportunity and explains that Kelly's criticism of Trump gives an insight into his true being. Your competitor counters by stamping Kelly as "degenerating" and stamping a product of the "Trump-hate syndrome".

The challenges for Harris are huge, however, because many Americans feel financially under pressure and see more in Trump's isolated message than in Harris' classic politics. Miller and experts like Allan Lichtman believe that Harris has the better foundations on paper, while the data consolidate Trump's advantages. It remains to be seen whether Kelly's shocking revelations are sufficient to help Harris help a comeback, but the competition remains exciting and could still change in the last laps before the election.