Russia increasingly control over Ukraine, Trump gives Putin for 50 days

Russia increasingly control over Ukraine, Trump gives Putin for 50 days

die 50- day of the US President Donald Trump Secondary sanctions against Russia offers the KREML the opportunity to use the gradual profits of the past few weeks. Analysts warn that this increasingly endangered the important Ukrainian key positions in the east.

Russia's offensive and military strategy

Russia is only removed from an increased summer offensive for days or weeks, possibly using the 160,000 soldiers who have reported Ukrainian officials near their front lines. In the past two weeks, however, Russia has also made small but decisive progress to put its troops into a better position in order to cut Ukrainian armed forces in three important cities - Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka and Kupiansk - on the Eastern Front.

geopolitical effects of the deadline extension

The kreml is unimpressed by the New Trump-Fround . Foreign Minister Sergei Lawrow said on Tuesday: "Fifty days - it used to be 24 hours, then 100 days; we went through it all." Analysts find that the new time frame is good for President Vladimir Putin's destinations. Keir Giles from Chatham House wrote on Tuesday that he gave Moscow more scope on the diplomatic stage. "The period of 50 days gives Russia enough time to develop its own alternative plan and to outsmart Washington again with a diplomatic trick that Trump mayingly accepts," he added.

intensification of Russian military actions

John Lough, head of foreign policy in the Think-Tank New Eurasian Strategies Center, expressed that the summer offensive has probably been in progress for several months and that "the Russians are undeniably intensify their efforts both on the ground and in the air." The latest Air strikes on Ukrainian cities could be set up for moscow be interpreted and aim to demoralize the population and to fight their will.

The situation in strategically important cities

The gradual progress that Moscow achieved near these three cities came at a significant price. The front line map of Deepstate, a Ukrainian surveillance service, as well as reports from the region show that Russia has made progress in trying to surround all three cities. In the last 72 hours, Russian armed forces Rodynske, an important settlement in the northeast of Pokrovsk, has approached themselves, a central Ukrainian military hub that has been besieged by Moscow for months.

The assessment of the Ukrainian military leadership

A Ukrainian commander with the call sign "Musician", who heads a drone company in the 38th marine brigade, has served near Pokrovsk since October. He reported CNN that the Russian offensive has been going on for some time. "She has probably not yet reached her climax," he said, "but you've made progress lately and do it quite successfully."

"The defense of Rodynske is crucial," he emphasized. "The enemy understands this and relies on it. If you move forward from Rodynske, the situation becomes critical. There are one or two streets that you can take over and the logistics are cut off. It is a logical step of the enemy."

The risk of isolation

Russian progress could lead to repeating the encirclement and the withdrawal, as they were observed around the city of Avdiivka in early 2024 - east of Pokrovsk. The Ukrainian troops stood in Avdiivka for months until they lacked numbers and resources to maintain control of the city - a defeat that became a symbol for both Kiev steadfastness and tireless tolerance in the territorial struggle.

The Ukrainian military blogger Bohdan Miroshnikov wrote that the intake of Rodynske "the surrounding of our entire left wing" would complete Pokrovsk, and expressed similar pessimistic assessments for the right wing and the south. "If it goes on like this, only a few options will remain ... either our garrison will be forced to withdraw under the pressure of the surrounding, or there will be violent struggles in a half-dating with unclear perspectives."

progress on several fronts

The Russian military telegram group "Voennaya Khronika", which means "military chronicle", explained that the goal was that Pokrovsk, like Avdiivka and Bakhmut, falls in front of it, with "continuous flanking isolations, pressure on the post-shines and frontal stagnation after strategic exhaustion." Deepstates maps also show progress towards Kostyantynivka-another important hub in the east-that Russia has quickly reached from the south and southwest in the past two weeks and which is now tirelessly hit by attack drones.

The Ukrainian blogger and soldier Stanislav Buniatov, who is known under the call sign Osman, wrote that Moscow's progress continued to bring the armed forces to the Dnipropetrowsk region, an area that was not part of Putin's territorial goals. "Daily clashes destroy 70-90% of the staff and the equipment of the enemy, but the enemy moves forward, and everyone understands why," says Osman.

internal challenges for the Ukrainian army

Incorrect reports from Ukrainian commanders to their superiors hinder defense, deepstate reported on Wednesday. "A large part of the success of the enemy lies in the lies in the reports from the field about the actual state of affairs, which makes it difficult to assess risks and react to changes in the situation from above ... This is a big problem with catastrophic consequences. Lies will all destroy us." The contribution highlighted the area south of Pokrovsk as particularly susceptible to this internal Ukrainian failure.

Russian progress is lower north of Kupiansk, but are another challenge for the often over -longing Ukrainian armed forces. Moscow's advance on June 23 from Holubivka has meant that it is now checking an important access road north of Kupiansk, near the Radkivka settlement. Kupiansk is one of the capitals east of the second largest city in Ukraine, Charkiw, and control over it secures the city with an estimated one million inhabitants.

Svitlana Vlasova reported from Kiev, while Nick Paton Walsh and Lauren Kent from London reported.