Putin demonstrates his independence

Putin demonstrates his independence

kyjiw, Ukraine-the current developments in the Ukraine conflict throw a disturbing light on the geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West. Russia's President Vladimir Putin recently said that the "causes of the conflict" urgently need to be tackled in order to pave the way for a permanent peace. This statement comes against the background of increasing pressure on Moscow to accept an immediate and unconditional 30-day ceasefire.

The role of the United States in conflict

In a conversation with US President Donald Trump, Putin explained his perspective, while Vice President JD Vance emphasized: "It is not our war." This statement suggests that the United States is willing to withdraw from the conflict if Russia is not willing to take steps towards a peace agreement. This is exactly what Russia is aiming for: a relaxation of the situation, while it continues to lead brutal war.

Trump’s withdrawal from the intermediary role

After Trump had appeared as an intermediary between Putin and the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj five days earlier, he seemed less committed after he was talked to Putin. He explained that the negotiations had to take place directly between Ukraine and Russia. In doing so, he said that the United States did not completely leave the process, but would like to leave the lead to someone else.

Putin's strategy and the role of NATO

It becomes increasingly clear how little Putin actually depends on the consent of the US president. If one is adhered to the conviction that is propagated in Russian media, Moscow sees the conflict not only as an examination of Ukraine, but also with the entire NATO and the USA. The central message of the Kremlin remains unchanged: it is an existential war, the restoration of dominance in the region.

economic and political dynamics

The possibilities that the United States currently have to put pressure on Russia are limited. Sanctions can be tightened or relaxed, but every decision has far -reaching consequences for the geopolitical landscape. Another increase in US sanctions could lead to considerable tensions with other global powers that Washington recently won as a partner. A reduction of sanctions could in turn upset the European allies and encounter little support.

The outlook on the future of Ukraine

in 2025, the perspective for Ukraine looks bleak. European politics pursues the goal of making Moscow reducing its goals by presenting a uniform NATO front. The developments in recent years show that both the economy and the military of Russia could possibly come under pressure, which would influence the war. But the options for Ukraine are severely restricted.

Trump and the changed perception

Trump could perceive the situation differently and may not see any advantage in a conflict with Russia in the long term. His business perspective speaks against an effort to invest in a conflict in which one strives for a pacified Europe. There is no realistic basis for an agreement; Putin is not interested in compromises, rather he thinks of conquering territories.

The role of American leadership

Traditionally, American foreign policy has based on other principles than just short -term deals. Dealing with allies, the huge soft power and military superiority have made the United States the largest economy and the leading power. But in the current situation, Trump seems to reduce the role of America and have little interest in pulling the geopolitical threads.