Oil prices explode: Israel-Iran conflict threatens to shake economy!

Oil prices explode: Israel-Iran conflict threatens to shake economy!

The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East reached a new highlight on June 13, 2025 when Israel carried out military attacks against Iran. This escalation has direct economic consequences, which immediately affect the global markets. According to vienna.at, the global stock exchange courses fell, while the US dollar gained value and investors fled more in government bonds. At the same time, oil prices increased significantly, with an increase in Brent oil price by 9% to $ 75.60 per barrel. This represents the largest price boost since May 2020.

A central aspect of the tense situation is the role of the street of Hormus, a crucial waterway that connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman. This meter is responsible for around 20% of the global oil transports, with around 21 million barrels of crude oil being transported every day. In addition, about a quarter of global LNG delivery flows leave this route. A failure of Iranian oil exports that are 1.6 million barrels per day and largely go to China could have a massive impact on the global economy.

fears before a blockade

Iran has already threatened with a possible blockage of the Hormus street, should there be further military provocations. Dealers fear that such a blockade could raise oil prices up to $ 100 per barrel, which would have serious consequences for global inflationary development. Loud [FOCUS] (https://www.focus.de/finanzen/news/nach-angraschen-aus-israel-strasse-von-hormus-das-Passier-w Enn-der-IRAN-EISTER-SEIGENGENGEN-The-WELT-SPRONG_53395F42-CAFE-47BF-B9DE-7A78AF958CB1.HTML) Could not only increase oil prices considerably, but also endanger the entire market stability.

experts emphasize that an actual blockade by Iran would be difficult to implement, although it has been threatened several times in the past. China as the main buyer of Iranian oil would do everything possible to prevent such a development. Nevertheless, the uncertainty remains, and the possibility of a sudden increase in oil prices could quickly hit consumers worldwide at the petrol stations.

consequences for the global economy

A persistently high level of oil would not only heat inflation, but could also influence the monetary policy decisions of leading central banks. Higher oil prices make interest reductions more difficult, whereby the US Federal Reserve (FED) recently interrupted the monetary political relaxation course and therefore possible interest reductions in September. The European Central Bank (ECB) could also be forced to take a break at its previous interest reductions, as lgt. In summary, it can be said that the geopolitical developments in the Middle East not only drive up the oil prices in phases, but also have far -reaching effects on the global economy and inflation. The situation remains tense and worth observing.