Traffic light coalition on the crossroads: 100 days, but surveys in a descent!

Traffic light coalition on the crossroads: 100 days, but surveys in a descent!

The traffic light coalition from ÖVP, SPÖ and NEOS will soon celebrate their first anniversary after it is now in office for almost 100 days. This phase traditionally marks the end of the grace period for new governments. But the survey values ​​show that the traffic light parties remain behind the expectations. The current survey results from a Lazars field survey, in which 2,000 people took part, are sobering: the ÖVP comes to 20 percent and has thus lost 6.3 percentage points compared to the election result of September 2024. At 21 percent, the SPÖ only reaches a minimal advantage, but remains under its previous result of 21.1 percent.

NEOS records 9 percent, which is very close to its election result of 9.1 percent, according to a maximum value of 12 percent before government formation. The Greens are 10 percent above their result from September 2024. In contrast, the FPÖ leads the surveys at a clear distance and would clearly win a National Council election with 34 percent, with the distance from the second -placed SPÖ. In the National Council election, the traffic light coalition could have 110 mandates; Now 13 mandates have been lost, and the current number of mandates for the traffic lights are 97, which is five more than required for government formation.

current election trend

In addition to the survey values ​​for the traffic light coalition, the current election trends show a clear leadership of the FPÖ with 33.7 percent, followed by the ÖVP with 20.9 percent and the SPÖ with 20.8 percent. The NEOS reach 10.1 percent, while the Greens come to 9.4 percent. Smaller parties such as the KPÖ are 3.2 percent and other parties reach 1.9 percent. It should also be noted that the government parties together reach 54.2 percent of the vote in the current trend;

In order to have significant political influence, 92 out of 183 MPs are necessary for a majority for government formation. These figures show that there is also the possibility of coalitions in the room to ensure a stable government.

political landscape and future perspectives

The political landscape in Austria is heavily polarized. The current values ​​illustrate the power shift towards rights and populist parties, while the traditional parties have to deal with falling voices. The next National Council election is expected to take place in 2029. A look at the distribution of the parties shows that 108 MPs are right -wing, while only 57 MPs come from the left spectrum.

The economic orientations of the parties vary and, according to a graphic from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey 2019, are also shaped by the life models of the voters. This study deals with the political orientation and shows that in the eyes of the voters, the state is understood both as an active instrument through taxes and regulation, as well as act as a moral instance.

While the traffic light coalition is preparing to celebrate its first major anniversary in the coming days, it remains to be seen in the awareness of the measures they will take to improve their survey values ​​and to secure the stability of their government. The challenges are clear, and the citizens: inside, developments are observed with great attention.