US threat to move away from peace negotiations in Ukraine

US threat to move away from peace negotiations in Ukraine

The patience of the Trump administration in relation to peace negotiations for Ukraine, which has always been very limited, now seems to be completely exhausted. "If it is not possible to end the war in Ukraine, we have to continue," US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters after discussions with European and Ukrainian officials in Paris.

Frustration about lack of progress

President Donald Trump, who came to office with the conviction, to have the skills to quickly end the most serious conflict in Europe since World War II, is frustrated by the lack of progress. "The president repeatedly made efforts for 87 days at the highest level of this government to end this war," added Rubio, while bloodshed in the war zone continues.

strategies for a possible solution

What would "continue" actually mean? One possibility could be to double the US military support for Ukraine. Despite Trump's efforts to caress the Kremlin-or perhaps precisely because of this-the Russian relentlessness has become the main obstacle to peace, recognizable by Moscow's hesitation with regard to Trump's proposed 30-day ceasefire, which was only approved by Ukraine.

Admittedly, new deliveries of billions of dollars of American weapons to Ukraine could encounter resistance from some Trump supporters, but a new, strengthened Ukrainian resistance on the front could move the Kremlin to rethink its negotiation position.

consequences of sanctions and pressure on Russia

NEW, really strict US sanctions on Russian oil and gas as well as against their buyers were also proposed as a potential means to exert maximum pressure on Moscow. The problem, however, is that the peace process in Ukraine is only one point on the agenda that Trump and the Kremlin see as part of a much more extensive and lucrative reorganization of US Russian relationships-including energy transactions, space and mining contracts-which Trump may not want to endanger.

the possibility of American departure

in Paris, Rubio indicated a possible second, probable option. "It is not our war. We have not started. The United States has supported Ukraine since the past three years and we want it to end, but it is not our war," emphasized Rubio and indicated that the United States could easily withdraw while leaving Ukraine and its European supporters in the fight against Russia alone.

That would be an enormous challenge to strengthen the front lines with their own military deliveries in view of the exhausted resources of Ukraine and the currently lacking willingness of Europe.

The effects on the Russian army and economy

For the Kremlin, an American departure would be a double -edged sword. It could give the battered Russian armed forces more freedom in Ukraine, but does not guarantee the victory that Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, wants, but only extends suffering. Russian soldiers who are killed and wounded to an alarming scope would continue to be pushed into the brutal "meat grinder" machine on the front lines of Ukraine, which increases the burgeoning social pressure on the Kremlin in Germany.

The pressure on the Russian economy already weakened by the war would also increase. If there is no peace agreement, there is hardly any loosening of the existing international sanctions that burden the fragile Russian finances.

Trump's options and the urgency for peace

Putin, determined to win a complete victory, could later regret the extraordinary opportunity that Trump offered to have missed at the end of his catastrophic Ukraine War and to reduce the significant loss of his country. The Trump administration insists that it has not yet fully abandoned-only hours after Rubio's comment, Vice President JD Vance said that the White House was "optimistic" that the war can still end-but signals that this point may be close to.

"We have to determine very quickly now and I speak of days whether this can be implemented," said Rubio about peace in Ukraine before flew back to Washington. The Kremlin also operates shachers that his spokesman insisted that “no contacts are planned this week, but let me say that the existing contacts enable us to reconcile such a conversation very quickly, if necessary.”

It seems that there is still a narrow scope for a facial, short -term breakthrough. But the time and patience in Washington to end the war in Ukraine seem to be disappearing quickly.

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