Trump's Ukraine ambassador has a plan to terminate the war
Trump's Ukraine ambassador has a plan to terminate the war
In a single post, the newly elected president presented the world to see what the end of the Ukraine war could look like. The diplomatic challenges that can be mastered are considerable.
Trump's diplomacy: Peace through strength
"I am very happy to nominate General Keith Kellogg to act as an assistant by the president and special representative for Ukraine and Russia," wrote Trump on his truth social channel. "Together we will secure peace through strength and make America and the world safe again!"
By appointing Keith Kellogg as his special representative for Ukraine, Donald Trump chose a clear and predicted plan for the most difficult foreign policy topic on his table.
Kellogg's peace plan in detail
Kellogg, Trump's 80-year-old former national security consultant, outlined his peace plan in detail, which he wrote for the America First Policy Institute in April. He describes the war as "an avoidable crisis that has involved an endless war due to the incompetent policy of the bid administration ..."
summarized a ceasefire is freezing the front lines, and both sides will be forced to step on the negotiating table. But the further details of the plan are complex.
US engagement in the Ukraine conflict rethink
Kellogg mainly criticizes the actions of bidges and expresses that his government had done too little fatal help too late. He argues that Trump's decision to give the first fatal help to Ukraine in 2018 showed the necessary strength to face Putin. Trump's gentle approach to the Kremlin boss-in contrast to bidens demonization-would enable him to negotiate a deal.
Kellogg demands that more weapons should be made available before the Russian invasion and immediately afterwards to help Ukraine win.
US help under conditions
But here is the plan, the cnn Trump's soon -to -be national security advisor is no longer in the sense of Ukraine. Kellogg emphasizes that the United States should not get involved in another conflict and that their own weapons were weakened by the help of Ukraine, which the country may be susceptible to a conflict with China about Taiwan.
He suggests that the NATO membership of Ukraine-which is actually located in a long way and was offered symbolically for united Europe-indefinitely, "in exchange for a comprehensive and verifiable peace agreement with security guarantees."
The way to a ceasefire
The plan also provides that it should be a formal US policy to look for an armistice and a negotiated agreement. Future US aids-probably granted as a loan-will be linked to the fact that Ukraine is negotiating with Russia, and the United States will arm Ukraine to such an extent that it can defend itself and ward off other Russian attacks before and after a peace agreement.
This latter idea could already be outdated due to the rapid leading advances of Russian troops in eastern Ukraine, which makes Kellogg uncomfortable in the current high phase of the US aid.
The complexity of the front lines and their consequences
A ceasefire would freeze the front lines and create a demilitarized zone. In return to this agreement, Russia would remove limited sanctions, there would only be complete relief if a peace treaty is signed to appeal to Ukraine. A tax on Russian energy exports would finance the reconstruction of Ukraine. Ukraine would not have to forego the reconquest of occupied areas, but would be committed to pursuing this exclusively through diplomacy. "This would require a future diplomatic breakthrough that will probably not occur before Putin is in office," accepts Kellogg.
a dark interaction of interests
The concept is simple and quick, but Moscow's demands do not do justice to the cynical persecution of military goals. Freezing the front lines will be violent for the next few months because Moscow intends to win as much soil as possible. In the past, the Kremlin ignored ceasefire and fully pursued its territorial goals.
The demilitarized zone would probably have to be secured, possibly by NATO troops or soldiers of other neutral nations. To say the least, this will be difficult to keep and be equipped with personnel. In addition, the zone extends over hundreds of kilometers and needs massive financial investments.
values in change
In two statements, Kellogg also reveals his way of thinking. He explains that national security in the sense of America First results from practical necessities. "Biden has replaced Trump's approach by liberal internationalism that promotes western values, human rights and democracy," he writes. This is a bad basis for finding a compromise about European security.
He adds that some critics of other help to Ukraine-to which he seems to be counted-“concerned, whether America's vital strategic interests in the Ukraine war are at risk, the potential of participation in American military forces and whether America is involved in a deputy war with Russia that could escalate into a nuclear conflict”. These two sentences form the convincing background for the proposed deal: The Ukraine War revolves around values that we do not have to perpetuate, and we should take a distance from Putin's nuclear threatening.
a dark outlook
The plan offers Ukraine the welcome chance of an end to violence, while losing all fronts and bitterly suffering from a lack of staff - an obstacle that it may never overcome while Russia will probably always outperform it.
The proposed solution could, however, initiate a process in which a torn and fraudulent Putin will use any advantage. The use of an armistice and the weakness of the West is his trademark, which he has been waiting for for almost three years. The plan accepts exhaustion in the West that the production capacities in the armaments industry cannot keep up and that its values are inefficient. In addition, there was little consideration of the measures that Russia could take to disturb his vision.
It is a motto compromise for a cloudy war. But he could not end it, but instead open a new chapter in which the unity and support of the West begins to crumble and Putin gets closer to his goals at the negotiating table and at the front.