Trump attacks Zelensky personally - Russia benefits from it
Trump attacks Zelensky personally - Russia benefits from it
The assumption that the efforts to be personally motivated and the USA always hovered in the room. Nevertheless, there was hope that the big picture that both the USA and the ukraine would benefit.
The relationship between Trump and Selenskyj
In the last 24 hours, the obvious dislike of US President Donald Trump Opposite his Ukrainian College Volodymyr Selenskyj. This is associated with real and new uncertainty about the future of Ukraine and the security of Europe in general.
Trump's statements and their consequences
Last week Trump indicated that he considers Selenskyj's poll values to be low and that he would soon have to make a choice. On Tuesday evening he deepened his statements and wrongly claimed that the war leader was only with 4 percent approval, and that Ukraine started war. This claim is very similar to the speech bubbles of the Kremlin. Moscow incorrectly suggested that the impending NATO accession of Ukraine was responsible for the unprovoked attack in 2022, and that Selenskyj was illegitimate because Ukraine did not perform any elections during the war.
Selenskyj's strategy and hopes
Selenskyj has shown Trump for months as someone who can bring peace through strength. Kiev was aware of the rhetoric of the Trump team in the election campaign, but knew that Trump could possibly bring about a fundamental change for Ukraine. In cooperation with European allies, Kiev had the hope that Trump would avoid a dramatic deterioration in security on the continent, similar to the withdrawal from the Kabul, and could keep Russia in chess.
The dangers of the political relationship
In the background, however, there was a risk that their controversial relationship during Trump's first term - when Selenskyj did not meet what Trump wanted in a telephone call called "perfect", which led to his office - is a dark cloud that stays stuck above her future interactions. This cloud has now made a loud place and the Ukraine is painfully faced.The challenge for Zelenskyj
Selenskyj has alleviated his comments about Trump, who lives in a “disinformation space” and emphasizes that he has great respect for this US president and the American people. Trump, on the other hand, does not seek such reservations and even emphasizes that the "dictator" has to act quickly to save Ukraine and be on a "Gravy Train". In the past five days, the White House has incorrectly referred to European democratic leaders as tyrants and has not mentioned the authoritarian offenses of the Kremlin in the same speech.
The existential dilemma of Ukraine
The existential dilemma for Ukraine is now whether it can even choose between her president and its most important military supporter, the United States. Is there enough of both?
Selenskyj is now the subject of the most powerful man in the world who regularly puts a flood of Kremlin arguments in the room and thus changes the course of the greatest war in Europe since the 1940s.
The threat of financial support
The financial support of the Trump administration for Ukraine, without which the country's survival would be seriously in danger, is now at risk. Trump has repeatedly wrongly claimed that the help for Ukraine is "missing" and that Selenskyj is on a "Gravy Train". In doing so, he prepares a story for the American public, which probably leads to the help of being shortened.
The questions about elections in Ukraine
Why does Selenskyj, who spent half of his six years in office, call a war that he initially did not think was possible, and not easy to choose and end the discussion about his legitimacy? Elections in Ukraine have been difficult in the past two decades even during peace. Elections are exposed to war law in war times. A ceasefire proposed by Trump's team could lead to this and soldiers receive the possibility to vote.
The complexity of the situation
What is the millions of Ukrainians who live abroad as refugees? What about the necessary reforms and emergency laws for a legitimate, modern choice? Should the choice be hastily carried out to achieve a quick result, or should it be processed thoroughly to achieve the full, gold standard of international legitimacy? What if a Russian drone attack or rockets disrupt the election day? Many things could go wrong, and probably they will.
The possible consequences
The result would be irrevocably surrounded by doubts, which would further damage Selenskyj's mandate, from which he was wrongly accused of being missing, or an alternative strengthening that would also not have full legitimacy. This would sow chaos on the front lines, the kitchen tables and in the cafes of Kiev and in the Ukrainian diaspora across Europe. This is exactly what the Kremlin wants: political malaise that Kiev increases problems on the front line.
The uncertainty in Trump's strategy
It becomes increasingly difficult to decipher Trump's motifs. You can't bluff when it comes to geopolitical security and NATO; Your opponents will perceive weakness in an alliance and no longer be afraid of them while negotiating their own allies. You cannot impose peace on a country with compulsion that fears the survival of its own limits and its people. You cannot undermine a war leader without expecting his troops to weaken on the front. Only a strategic interest was served in the past two weeks by Trump's radical rethinking of the global order. And it is that of his opponent to whom NATO was founded to confront him.
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