Russia uses Trumps 50 days as a license for offensive in Ukraine

Russia uses Trumps 50 days as a license for offensive in Ukraine

President Trump has effectively given Wladimir Putin an extraordinary green light: 50 days to complete his brutal offensive in summer against Ukraine before he has to expect any consequences.

consequences of the extended deadline

Only if there is no agreement to terminate the war until the end of this period, the threatened 100-percent tariffs and Russian goods and Secondary sanctions against Russian trading partners come into force.

The view of the Ukrainians and the Kremlin

For millions of sleepless Ukrainians who are currently exposed to continuing Russian attacks with fatal rockets and mass roar, this period of time could appear like an eternity. In Moscow, on the other hand, the officials already breathe out quietly. After all, it could be much worse for them.

Sanctions could come into force immediately if President Trump had wanted it, or they could be much higher-like the 500 percent tariff proposed in a non-partisan law in the US Senate. Nevertheless, it is uncertain whether the impending sanctions will actually change the course of the Kremlin in Ukraine.

Russia's strategy and economy

Russia is already one of the most sanctioned countries in the world, suffering from punishments due to allegations for election manipulation in the USA and other harmful activities from Crimia to Syria to Great Britain. The Kremlin has already established a complex system of sophisticated circumvention strategies to keep its fragile economy afloat while refusing to change his behavior.

"Life has shown that no sanctions against Russia provide results," commented Anatoly Aksakov, an important Russian legislator than he was asked about the latest sanction expectations. "They cause Russia to progress confidently, develop its economy and carry out structural redesign of his national economy," he added.

prospects for the war in Ukraine

Kremlin insiders also suspect that the 50-day time window, before the new US sanctions take effect, offers enough time for a military success in Ukraine-or, if that fails that the notoriously changeable president Trump could change his opinion about Russia again. "So much can change in 50 days, both on the battlefield as well as in the mood of the powerful in the USA and NATO," said a prominent Russian Senator, Konstantin Kosachev, on social media.

"But our mood will not be affected," he promised, as Russia considered to be thinking as long-term, while Western governments, especially the Trump administration, are considered moody.

US arms deliveries and political reactions

Despite all of this, Russia is seriously concerned about the prospect that US weapons-even defensively used patriot rocket defense systems-get to Ukraine again. Moscow sees the almost daily air raids on Kiev and other Ukrainian cities as an essential part of its current military strategy, in addition to the ongoing offensive on the Ukrainian front.

The idea behind it is that the Ukrainian will continue to fight, is exhausted that the political will in Europe is waning and the country finally surrender. But the agreement on the delivery of other American patriot rocket defense systems that offer a protective lid against air strikes makes this scenario less likely.

frustrated Russian politicians are now expressed significantly and accuses President Trump to speak of peace while extending the war behind the scenes. "Ukraine, this man is wrong!" Leonid Kalashnikov, an open member of the Communist Party, explained. "He wants this war to continue, but not with his own hands," added Kalashnikov.

In the state media controlled by Kremlin, the change of course Washington to deliver weapons to Ukraine was sharply criticized, and Trump was compared to his predecessor, who is widely hated in Russia. "Trump now follows the traces of [former US President] Joseph Biden and promises weapons to Ukraine to bring Moscow to the negotiating table," said Olga Skabeyeva, a prominent pro-wicker moderator. "Biden has done this in the past three and a half years. But as we know, he had no success," she caught.

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