Gas supply in winter: IEA warns of serious bottlenecks!

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The IEA warns of risks to gas supplies in the winter of 2023/2024 due to rising consumption and geopolitical tensions.

Gas supply in winter: IEA warns of serious bottlenecks!

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has released new developments about global gas supplies next winter that raise concerns. In particular, geopolitical tensions and increasing gas consumption, especially in Asia, could significantly impact the supply situation. The IEA forecasts a 2.5 percent increase in gas consumption this year, equivalent to a record high of 4,200 billion cubic meters.

But the situation harbors uncertainties. The transit of Russian gas via Ukraine in particular is seen as a critical factor, as existing supply contracts expire at the end of 2024. If these are not extended, this could mean the end of Russian gas deliveries to Europe via Ukraine, which would lead to an increased need for liquefied gas imports. These developments place additional pressure on global gas supplies, as liquid gas plays a central role in the global balance between supply and demand.

Critical infrastructure and its challenges

The IEA also points to various shortages that may affect liquefied natural gas trade. Problems in the Panama Canal and the Red Sea show how vulnerable shipping routes are in an increasingly globalized gas market. Despite these challenges, there has so far been no significant decline in LPG supply. The Energy Agency recommends increasing flexibility within the gas and liquid gas value chains in order to better meet the challenges.

“Growth in global gas demand this year and next reflects the gradual recovery from the global energy crisis that has hit markets hard,” said IEA Director of Energy Markets and Security Keisuke Sadamori. Nevertheless, the relationship between supply and demand remains fragile, which requires close cooperation between producers and consumers in order to navigate through the uncertain times.

Given these developments, it is crucial to develop strategies that minimize the risk of a potential supply shortage. The impact of geopolitical tensions and the need for a stable gas market are key issues that both suppliers and consumers must keep in mind.

Facts like these highlight the importance of closely monitoring global energy markets, especially in a year where gas demand continues to rise. The IEA report contains warnings that should encourage both governments and companies to develop forward-looking solutions to ensure energy security.

Further analysis and information on gas supply risks is provided in an in-depth report from the IEA that addresses the various challenges and opportunities in the global gas market, as reported by www.shz.de.