Dresden in climate change: Do infinite heat waves and drought threaten?

Dresden in climate change: Do infinite heat waves and drought threaten?

Dresden, Deutschland - The question of whether Dresden children can build snowmen in the future becomes increasingly relevant due to the impending climatic changes. Researchers have developed comprehensive scenarios on climate change that show what could come in Saxony in the coming decades. According to the Federal Environment Agency, it is clear that the climate will change drastically by 2100, which could have far -reaching consequences for both the population and urban tourism.

In the past 140 years, the average temperature in Germany has increased by 1.6 degrees, with the five warmest years after the beginning of the records after 2000. This is just one of many factors that citizens will feel in everyday life. At the same time, the challenges due to more extreme weather events such as heavy rain, floods and drought periods grow to endanger considerable economic potential. The Federal Government estimated the resulting damage in 2022 at over 80 billion euros.

climate space types and their effects

Climate change does not affect all regions evenly, since differences in the geographical conditions play a decisive role. Researchers have identified seven different types of climate space in Germany, each faced with specific challenges. In the low mountain ranges in particular, longer drought period can be expected, while extreme rains on the coasts are more likely to occur. East Germany, including Dresden, is one of the driest areas where citizens have to expect increasing temperature and heavy rain risk.

For Dresden in particular, a current climate projection shows that the residents have to expect a significant increase in the hot days. There are currently an average of 6.2 heat days per year. In the worst case, this number could increase to 16.9 by the end of the century if CO2 emissions should not be reduced. In addition, the number of tropical nights at which the temperatures do not fall below 20 degrees could increase drastically. Such nights could reach up to eight nights a year in a scenario based on high emissions.

The data determined not only offer an outlook on temperature development, but also on how the precipitation patterns and drought phases in the region could change. The researchers' future scenarios use different climate models and differentiate between high, medium and low emissions, which leads to different results. This is crucial for planning future measures to adapt to climate change.

The data comes from the experts of the Climate Service Center Germany (Gerics), which have analyzed all counties in Germany. The projections offer valuable references to the climatic realities that the citizens of Dresden can expect in the coming decades.

In order to better manage the challenges of climate change, adaptive measures will be necessary, both on an individual and urban level. The possibility of how society deals with the upcoming changes could significantly determine how worth living in the cities in Saxony in 2100. The ideas for coping with these challenges are varied and range from more intensive urban green areas to innovative water management strategies.

Overall, it can be said that climate change is just around the corner and careful planning and short -term measures are necessary to minimize the effects on the citizens and to ensure the quality of life in the cities. The current data and research projects offer an important basis for making individual and political decisions about the future of Dresden.