Cold slump in Baden-Württemberg: Does the winter forecast come true?
Cold slump in Baden-Württemberg: Does the winter forecast come true?
In Baden-Württemberg there is currently an unclear weather situation, which includes mild temperatures and the possibility of a winter onset. According to merkur have already been carried out in some regions, but short duration. The current weather conditions are influenced by a new warm air flow, which counteracts winter temperatures. While the Climate Forecast System (CFS) predicts a temperature deviation from minus 1 to minus 2 degrees below the climate agent for the period from 1991 to 2020, the American GFS model shows early values between minus 10 and minus 20 degrees for January 18, 2025.
The graduate meteorologist Dominik Jung expresses itself skeptically about the extreme predictions of the weather models. Accordingly, the ensemble forecast for the south of Germany shows temperature average from 0 to 5 degrees until January 18, which could indicate frost-free weather. In his current weather forecast, Jung states that the next few days will bring a wet and cold grub weather instead of winter weather. On Sunday, January 5th, daily maximum values of up to 13 degrees are to be expected, followed by a temperature drop from Tuesday, January 7th. On Wednesday, January 8th, only 4 degrees is expected.
Possible winter onset in view
like echo24 Baden-Württemberg within the coming week hurricane gusts. A cold front could then cause a winter slump. The winter forecast for 2024/25 indicates an overall colder -decreasing winter weather in Germany. According to Jung, the weather in northern Germany's cooler and wet -cold weather will be shaped from Monday, November 20th.
From Wednesday, November 20, wind speeds of up to 130 km/h can occur in higher regions in Baden-Württemberg, while up to 30 liters of rain per square meter in the southwest are forecast. On Thursday, the temperatures in western Germany could reach up to 15 degrees. A cold front that displaces the hurricane field on Saturday, November 23, leads to icy temperatures of up to 0 degrees in Baden-Württemberg. In the morning hours, temperatures up to -4 degrees in parts of the federal state can be expected, while at high altitudes of up to 1,500 meters, low levels of up to -9 degrees are expected. There is a lot of fresh snow in the Alps as well as in higher altitudes of the Black Forest and the Swabian Alb.
Dominik Jung speaks of a "very exciting weather development" and points out that weather models have already predicted a winter onset in the past.
-transmitted by DetailsOrt Baden-Württemberg, Deutschland Quellen
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