Trump, tariffs and the tremor for the EU: This is how Germany is there in 2025!

Trump, tariffs and the tremor for the EU: This is how Germany is there in 2025!

Deutschland, Land - The upcoming US presidential elections could shake the transatlantic trade structure! Donald Trump has threatened to introduce massive customs increases in the event of a re -election - with targeted measures against the EU. In the truest sense of the word, that would be an escalation of the trading fights! The EU plans to strike back with its own retaliation to intercept the impending shock.

Based on a comprehensive study, the potential of a second TRUMP term from 2025 to 2028 is illuminated. Two scenarios show the terrifying effects: in the first scenario, the US tariffs would increase to 10 percent, while the EU reacts with a 10 percent retaliation. In the second scenario, the tariffs rise to 20 percent! That would bring the US economy to its knees with a loss of 1.3 to 1.5 percent of GDP in 2025-the absolute horror for the American economy!

shocking losses for the EU

But the hammer is still coming: The negative effects for the EU-27 and Germany would be devastating! While the United States could slowly stabilize, Europe and Germany in particular suffer from a permanent GDP decline. In the worst case, Germany could lose up to 180 billion euros from 2025 to 2028. A real nightmare, especially as two thirds of these losses result from a dramatic decline in private investments!

The global attitude towards trade is changing rapidly, and the EU and Germany have to react to it. Given these geopolitical tensions, retaliation measures become essential. If the EU acts determined and sets equivalent tariffs, the negative effect on the US economy becomes noticeable-which clearly shows that the EU can certainly appear as a block. Once again, a clever and assertive trading policy could make the difference!