US is missing from the most important climate summit of the past ten years, advantage for China

US is missing from the most important climate summit of the past ten years, advantage for China

The Trump administration released the last US climate negotiators at the beginning of this month, which further consolidates the withdrawal of America from international climate policy. This could be a Große Sieg

Missing presence at Cop30

The closure of the office for global changes in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs-which the United States represents in climate negotiations between the countries-leaves the greatest historical cause of CO2 emissions without official representation in one of the most important climate peaks of the past decade: the COP30, the annual UN climate tongues in Belém, Brazil, in November.

consequences for climate protection

Without the existing climate workers of the Foreign Ministry, even legislators were able to receive an accreditation on the Capitol Hill, which normally take part in the peaks, reported a source familiar with the process.

The COP30 is said to be a groundbreaking summit that defines the global climate policy for the next decade - an absolutely decisive decade, while the world is increasingly catastrophic temperature increases The opinion of the experts

"The USA gives up its responsibility in the middle of a planetary emergency," said Harjeeet Singh, a long -time climate activist and founder of Satat Sampada Climate Foundation, an organization for air conditioning. He pointed out that the role of the United States in climate policy has always been characterized by contradictions. "It has promoted ambitious rhetoric while at the same time expanding the domestic support of fossil fuels." The lack of the United States can create a "dangerous vacuum", says Singh.

China develops renewable energies at a breathtaking pace, while the USA greatly reduce its wind and solar sectors Make fossil fuels.

China's climate goals and challenges

"It is likely that China's voice will be heard louder at Cop30 because they have identified the growth of green technologies as a central pillar of their business strategy," said Joeri Rogelj, a climate scientist at Imperial College London. In a statement by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, climate change is described as a "common challenge of mankind".

"No country can escape this, and no country is immune to it," says the Chinese explanation. The question is whether China follows his strong words and sets an example without his global political counterforce. All countries have time until September to submit new goals to limit climate pollution for the next decade, and China has a story to set weak goals.

outlook on the climate goals

These goals will offer a roadmap for the climate protection measures until 2035, and China, as CO2 emissions will make a significant contribution to determining the planet's climate course. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not give any specific answers to questions about its future goals, but emphasized that the country will "work with all parties involved" in order to actively react to the challenges of climate change and to drive the global green and low -carbon transformation.

The USA traditionally exerted pressure on China to strive for more ambitious obligations, which was usually only successful. Climate protection was a positive aspect in the otherwise tense US Chinese relationship under the bidding administration. Almost two years ago, a Significant deal in which both countries were promised to promote renewable energies Reduce greenhouse gases.

The focus is on China

But the situation has changed. With the upcoming COP30, China will not be exposed to the same pressure. At the beginning of its term, the bid administration had presented an ambitious goal of 61-66 % reduction in emissions by 2035-a goal that would have been difficult to achieve under a democratic administration and is almost impossible under the Trump administration with their "drilling, baby, drilling" mantra.

This allows all eyes to be directed in China. His goal is the most crucial for the climate, according to experts. China has a well -established pattern of subordinate and overfilling. The country gave the country to “approximately” 2030 to achieve its maximum climate pollution. Independent analyzes show that this has probably happened five years earlier and that pollution is now starting.

The civil servants of the bid administration encouraged China to strive for a reduction in pollution by 30 % by 2035. But some experts expect a much more modest goal that China leaves enough scope. "Beijing sends signals that these demands are too high and, in their view, are unrealistic and unfair," said Li Shuo, director of the China climate tub at the Asia Society Policy Institute. "It is very sure to say that there will be a gap and this gap could be considerable."

Shuo and his colleagues from Asia Society believe that China will present a goal of high single -digit or low double -digit numbers to reduce pollution. The number is important, explained the former US climate commissioner Todd Stern. A strong, ambitious goal of China would "influence numbers worldwide and design the image of awareness of whether the cop is making progress or not," he added.

Even if the climate goals let China miss ambition, the country is still a leader in the development of clean energies. China is currently building 510 gigawatts of solar and wind energy generation capacity, says Global Energy Monitor. This will add to the already amazing 1,400 gigawatts that are already online - the five times of what is operated in the United States.

The big challenges remain coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel, on which China continues to depend heavily. "They build as much coal as the entire US fleet within five years," said Duke.

This is the paradox of the withdrawal of the United States, Singh continued. "It could drive China's global climate leadership and at the same time reduce pressure on Beijing to accelerate its difficult transition phase away from fossil fuels."