Trump shortens the period of peace for Ukraine - will the Kremlin react?
Trump shortens the period of peace for Ukraine - will the Kremlin react?
If his latest comments say something, the impatience of US President Donald Trump is apparently increasing towards the Kremlin. While he from his golf resort in Turnberry , in addition to the British Prime Minister KEIR, shortened trump Unexpectedly his own 50-day deadline for Moscow, which he set two weeks ago to make a peace agreement with of the Ukraine to be closed or hard new business sanctions.
new period of Trump
"Yes, I will set a new period of about 10 or 12 days from today," Trump said to journalists on Monday. "There is no reason to wait. I want to be generous, but we just don't see any progress." It remains unclear why Trump has decided to wait another 10 to 12 days before it with high tariffs on Russia and strict secondary sanctions against countries that buy Russian oil threatens.
criticism of the Russian leadership
Nevertheless, this shows that Trump's notoriously changeable rhetoric for the Ukraine War, which fluctuated for months between the blame to Kiev and Moscow for the ongoing bloodshed, now accepted a more consistent, generally critical tone towards the Kremlin and his strong leader Vladimir Putin. "We thought we had clarified this several times, and then President Putin goes out and begins to shoot rockets in cities like Kiev and kills many people in an old people's home or the like," said Trump earlier on Monday.
Trump's threats and the reaction of the Kremlin
Trump also renewed his threat of tariffs and sanctions and considered whether the Kremlin would surrender. "Based on reason, you would assume that you want to do a deal. I guess we will find out," he said. But after years of persistent resistance to compromises, the tension hardly seems exciting. The Kremlin has unequivocally ruled out the war in Ukraine until it has achieved its maximum goals, which includes control over far -reaching annexed Ukrainian areas that have not yet been conquered, as well as strict military and foreign policy restrictions for a future Ukraine that would subject Kiev de facto to the sake of Moscow.
effects of impending sanctions
It is unlikely that even a threat of further sanctions against Russia, which is already one of the most sanctioned countries in the world, which Kremlin will dissuade from its course, which is apparently ready to achieve its goals at all costs.
The preliminary laying of this threat by a few weeks, as Trump has now done, will probably have little influence on the stubborn calculations of the Kremlin, especially since the sanctions threatened by Trump in Russia are considered toothless or feasible. Trump's threat of 100 percent tariffs to Russian exports is seen as almost meaningless in a country that deals only a few billion dollars between the United States and Russia every year.
The geopolitical implications
more important could be Trump's threat of imposing draconian tariffs or secondary sanctions against countries that buy Russian oil. The biggest importers of this raw material are of course India and China. Turkey is also a large buyer, as is some European countries. In Moscow there are serious doubts that even Trump would move the United States to a global trade war on Ukraine.
should agree in the unlikely case of China, India and Turkey, to stop buying Russian oil, the market would be significantly shaken, which would probably drive up crude oil prices and heat the global inflation and petrol prices in the USA.
reactions from Russia
Even before Trump's recent statements, Kremlin insiders publicly laughed at his ultimats. "Fifty days! It used to be 24 hours; it used to be 100 days. We went through all of this," the experienced Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov mocked at the beginning of the month. Now the recent time window of 10 to 12 days has caused even stronger counter -reactions. "Russia's actual response to Trump's ultimatum will be the same as for 500 years on all Ultimats," wrote the prominent Russian political analyst Sergey Markov on Telegram. "Go away! Go to hell," he added.
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