Dramatic week: Putin, experimental stroke and the Ukraine War
Dramatic week: Putin, experimental stroke and the Ukraine War
The last seven days have fundamentally changed the lengthy conflict in Ukraine and at a breathtaking pace, just before Donald Trump's takeover in January. This week, a seismic escalation marks, which, however, could quickly be forgotten due to the fatigue in terms of war, which is why it makes sense to take a look back.
arms deliveries and escalation
The White Home Authorized Ukraine on Sunday to use the missiles provided by goals in Russia, which happened quickly on Monday. Moscow reacted with the use of an experimental medium -range missile that has hyperschall speed and has a multiple head system that is usually reserved for nuclear explosive heads , and reached on Thursday dnipro. Putin claimed that the "Oreshnik" could escape all western air defenses.
risky strategy of the great powers
Both sides described each other as light -hearted - with both sides I mean the USA and Russia. This situation quickly develops into a war in which Washington is desperately trying to change the negative development on the front in Ukraine, while Russia, the aggressor since the beginning, has been taking risk of risk to restore the depreciation value of the past three years. Although a direct conflict remains unlikely, a more intensive interference in the global struggle of Ukraine could be imminent.
The unexpected call
A few days earlier, Chancellor Olaf Scholz had unilaterally called President Vladimir Putin and thus ended two -year isolation of the Kremlin chief from important western leaders. Scholz was looking for to arrange for Pro-Russian voters in East Germany before the Bundestag election, but justified his call with the fact that Europe should also have talks with Moscow if Trump does this. The reactions from Ukraine and Poland were publicly angry; France and the United Kingdom seemed to cook.Development of military technologies
It is unlikely that the decision of the White House for using weapon can be regarded as an immediate consequence of Scholz ’call; Rather, it was stated that President Joe Biden had to establish months of delaying approval for the missiles in Russia with the occurrence of North Korean troops into the ranks of Russia. Putin's decision to fire the Oreshnik rocket could therefore be seen as a further step on a carefully prepared escalation manager. These movements have been signaled for months, even if both sides seemed surprised how quickly they were actually implemented.
the Oreshnik and its meaning
The exact details of Oreshnik are crucial for Putin's message. Much remains unclear, but most of the assessments, including Putin's own statements, agree that it is a new, probably hyper -shaped rocket that is not nuclear, but is able to fire several explosive heads, which is usually reserved for nuclear battle heads. Putin claimed that the rocket made all western air defendants useless at a speed of 3 km per second. US and NATO-officials described the device as medium-range rocket and "experimentally", which initially sounded like an attempt to reduce its meaning, but could actually point out a wider gap with Moscow.
tactical developments in Ukraine
The weeks that lie ahead of us will show whether the use of Oreshnik is a singular message or a new tactic. The use of the rocket triggered concern in Kiev, especially after the sudden closure of the US message due to an air threat on Wednesday, which fürs fear that Moscow is back on tools that has kept it for a final existential struggle with a great power.
conclusion: an unstable front line
The most alarming news of the week may have come away from the loud geopolitical arguments and the threatening explosions about Dnipro. The British Military Intelligence reported on Thursday that the front line was more unstable than at any time since the invasion. This is an euphemism for the Fights of the Ukrainian forces and is in line With the consistently dark reports of military and open sources that CNN received.
In the south of Kharkiw, the Russian troops near the city of Kupiansk move forward. The supply lines are at risk around the eastern Donbas region. Even in southern Saporischeschja, the pressure seems to rise, and Moscow persistently tries to push the Ukraine out of its Conschair Border region. The bidding administration could bring about tank defense mines and announce more ammunition, but the changes are currently happening-over the trenches where the snow leaves. In the most optimistic scenario, they seem to give Moscow territorial advantages for a dark winter.
The Presidency of Trump's accelerated talks about negotiations. But the immediate reaction was a hasty advance to tighten the hot war before it might be a standstill. The acute risk is that this advance develops a life in a better negotiating position and develops an unstoppable dynamic.
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