EU and the USA increased pressure on Russia due to Ukraine - Trump disturbed that

The reaction of Trump and Putin

Trump's special envoy for Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, even joined the choir US ally states who asked Russia to accept the ceasefire. But then Russell spoke President Vladimir Putin, who refused to mention the demand at all and instead presented something old as something new: direct conversations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, four days later. The transatlantic unit broke up. Trump jumped on the proposal of the Kremlin and in his truth social network explained that Putin was not interested in a ceasefire, and instead urged the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj to organize the meeting now !!! "

The domestic pressure on Selenskyj

Selenskyj only had the opportunity to show personal commitment and bravery while he offered to personally hold the meeting with Putin, the man who is charged with war crimes against his country. That is a difficult decision for him domestically.

The role of European leaders

It is important not to rule out the possibility that Moscow and Washington are working on a plan in the background that could bring the world closer to peace. But while Trump spoke, the European leaders seemed to fall silent. The sky above Ukraine did not. On the night when a ceasefire was challenged, Russia had 108 drones starting and carried out attacks in which a 10-year-old girl was caught in the ruins in the Cherson region.

The skepticism of Putin's plans

The importance of the Kiev explanation on Saturday was less in the immediate probability of an end to the fights for a month. The European leaders seemed to be very skeptical that their push of Moscow would find approval. Cynics could argue that the exercise was more used to prove to the White House that Putin was not interested in peace or the special ceasefire offering that the Trump administration had requested.

Putin's strong point of view

But that was not the only "unveiling" that the four largest military power in Europe learned during their complex and long journey to the Ukrainian capital. Trump also improved her view of his actual position. Putin is now encouraged triple. He was able to completely ignore the European and Ukrainian demand by not even mentioning it directly. Second, he has - so far - have not felt any of the "massive sanctions" that Europe apparently suggested if there was no ceasefire. Third, his proposal for direct discussions in Istanbul - except for the date - was the basis of Trump's position. The US President kept the possibility of consequences open if it turned out that these conversations were fruitless.

Trump and his relationships with the Kremlin

A constant topic in the last months of chaos is Trump's reluctance to move in a way that could endanger his relationship with the Kremlin. We do not know whether Trump and Putin spoke between the visit of the Europeans in Kiev and Trump's postings on Truth. But maybe we don't have to know: In any case, Trump chose the path where he and Putin can continue to maintain a better relationship than the unity that strive for his European allies. The threat of sanctions - massive or not - has always been a complex task. Russia has already been sanctioned strongly, and there are only limited opportunities to actually take effective measures without considering the West considerably.

The dangers of a meeting in Istanbul

The planned meeting in Istanbul, if it actually occurs, is an extremely risky step. Putin and Selenskyj are visible. The first sees the second as a pro-European traitor and a symbol of the success that the bureaucratic remains of the Soviet Union still have not accepted. The latter sees the first as the man who attacked his country for no reason and constantly bombed children at night. It is more likely that the two will not find a common denominator than to get out with one path to the time.

The uncertainty of the future

The simplest conclusion from the past few days is that Trump does not recognize that Putin is trying to win time. The troops of the Kremlin do not seem to be reduced, but to reinforce, along a front line where they urge hard near Pokrovsk in the east of Ukraine. The deadlines on the weekend have passed and have exposed the short moment of unit as anomaly, while the White House does not seem to be ready to upset Putin. The possible meeting in Istanbul is only ahead of three days. But it will probably not bring peace nor even a ceasefire, but only diplomatic show struggles and significant personal hostility between two men who come from completely different generations in the post -Soviet world. It could even throw the peace process back and delay the moment when Trump has to decide whether he wants to join his European allies in order to punish Russia to reject ceasefire.

The answer to Trump's postponed, important decision is already clear. How Europe and Ukraine will take care of themselves is uncertain.