Poland: Presidential election on the brink, exit polls show tension

Nach einem spannenden Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen zwischen Warschaus liberalem Bürgermeister Rafał Trzaskowski und dem populistischen Herausforderer Karol Nawrocki zeigt eine Umfrage ein nahezu ausgeglichenes Ergebnis der Präsidentschaftswahl.
After an exciting head-to-head race between Warsaw Liberal Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and the populist challenger Karol Nawrocki, a survey shows an almost balanced result of the presidential election. (Symbolbild/DNAT)

Poland: Presidential election on the brink, exit polls show tension

in Warsaw, the liberal mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and his populist challenger Karol Nawrocki face up in the presidential election in Poland. After the Exit Polls on Sunday, the choice is a head-to-head race that the country presents two completely different political future options.

Work exciting head-to-head

The Exit Polls show that Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki are almost the same, with Trzaskowski led with less than one percentage point in the runoff election on Sunday. Should Trzaskowski win, this would end the ten-year mandate of law and justice (PIS) party in the presidential palace-the last political stronghold of the populist block, which once ruled Poland with almost unrestricted authority. Trzaskowski could thus achieve nationwide power on the second attempt.

The meaning of the result for Donald Tusk

The result is of considerable importance for Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who promised to repay the traces of the PIS in Poland's institutions. This conflict with the outgoing President Andrzej Duda, who defeated Trzaskowski 2020, is known. Nawrocki, similar to Duda, received the support of the pis.

A possible Nawrocki president could block the reforms

A presidency of Nawrocki could torpedo the efforts of the Centric Government to reduce the authoritarian legacy in the country. The 42-year-old historian would have the opportunity to use the extremely powerful presidential veto, which Duda often used to thwart Tusk's agenda. In contrast, a Trzaskowski victory Tusk would enable his ambitious plan to reverse the effects of the effects of the transformation of Poland through the PIS, to drive far less obstacles.

support from the populist right

Nawrocki is a loud supporter of US President Donald Trump and visited him in the last few weeks of the election campaign. He also received support from participants in the conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), which took place for the first time this week in Poland, and thus increases the years of convergence between populist right -wing movements in Poland and the USA.

Trzaskowski as a favorite until the first round of elections

Trzaskowski, the sophisticated son of a celebrated Polish jazz musician, was a favorite for a long time in the election campaign. But the first round of the election two weeks ago showed that he was just ahead of Nawrocki and apparently found higher support for some Far-Right and Extreme Right figures, the information that he wanted to vote for Nawrocki.

Nawrocki's political background

Nawrocki is a political beginner who has led two influential cultural institutions in Poland - the museum of the Second World War in Gdansk and then the Institute of National Remembrance, a state -funded research institution, the purpose of which has increasingly been politicized than the PIS pursued a nationalistic approach to the history. On the election campaign, he often found the opportunity to emphasize his Catholic faith, to reduce migration, and tirelessly commented on Brussels and Tusk.

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