Trump's hurry in the deal with Putin brings Ukraine and Europe in need
Trump's hurry in the deal with Putin brings Ukraine and Europe in need
A dangerous fragment line arises, while Donald Trump ukraine-analysis/index.html "> to end the war in Ukraine. The US President strives for his claims on the noble price for peace underpin. However, a fair conclusion of the conflict could overwhelm a quick solution because it raises existential questions for Ukraine and European security.
increased tensions in the negotiations
These tensions were reinforced by the decision of the President, civil servants from Kiev and European countries took place. Ultimately, the fate of his advancement will depend on whether his quick approach can take into account the critical details of a peace plan that enables Ukraine to survive, ensure the borders and security of Europe and not reward Russia for its illegal invasion.
Trump's approach: a risky game
Trump shows little obvious for one of these three goals - one reason why his strategy is a risky game. Each party in this process has considerable concerns and significant influence, which explains why it will be much more difficult to end the war than its failed promises on the campaign trail to create peace within 24 hours.
urge after an agreement
Trump wants a deal - maybe even some deal. The war often appears as a distraction from what Trump really wants - the opportunity to meet Putin, one of the global power actors that he admires. Nevertheless, there is a chance that Trump's urgency and power, combined with a dialogue with the Russian guide, could change the dynamics of this first World War-like war.
uncertainties and geopolitical risks
For example,Trump expresses a reality that many US and European civil servants have shared privately for months: that Ukraine does not win the war and that Russia cannot sell from all conquered territory. His employees endlessly praise him as the world's greatest “deal maker”. But his previous efforts seem naive. He has accepted some of the most important goals in Russia, often empathized with the goals of the invasion and has opposed America's European friends who bore the costs of supporting the war on Ukraine. These are the same allies that Defense Minister Pete Hegseth says that they have to monitor peace alone.
Trump's questionable strategies
In his most remarkable step, Trump tried to claim half of Ukraina's wealth of rare earths - in an attempt to take advantage of the desperate vulnerability of a attacked nation. President Wolodymyr Selenskyj rejected the "offer". It seems that Trump has little understanding of the historical dangers, be it in Ukraine or the Middle East. His plan to displace the Palestinians from the Gaza Strip so that he can build beach resorts shows his little sensitive understanding of geopolitics.
Putin's long -term strategy
Trump could go to a deception of Putin. The Russian leader had loosened the climate of the upcoming talks by previously with the release of several US inmates, including Kalob Byers , which was arrested last week for drug trading, gave gifts. Trump believes that he came out of his conversation with the Russian leader last week with a promise for discussion about comprehensive atomic disarmament. This is one of the reasons why the talks in Saudi Arabia in which Foreign Minister Marco Rubio and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz are of such importance: You have to test the seriousness of Russia and protect Trump from overzealous interpretations of Russian concessions.
The risks of an overhanged peace
The operations are enormous. An overhanged peace treaty that strengthens Russia and weakens European security by legitimizing Putin's expansionism, the seeds could lay the seeds for an even worse future war. At the end of the Cold War, President George H.W. Bush the case of the Soviet Union and its satellite states in Eastern Europe - sometimes against regional leaders in favor of the western interests of the West and their own security. There are no signs of such an affinity for Europe or its future.
Selenskyj's struggle for the future of Ukraine
While Trump is striving for political fame, Selenskyj fights for something far deeper: the survival of his country as a future, independent, sovereign state. Trump's decision to open talks with Russia on Tuesday in Saudi Arabia without taking into account Ukraine aroused fear that he would strive for a quick agreement with Putin, which he would then improve Kiev. Selenskyj warned last week at the Munich Security Conference that he would "never accept deals", which was closed behind his back without his participation. Should Trump retire, Selenskyj would have to decide whether he would continue to fight without American weapons and ammunition or rely on Europe's weaker support anyway.
EU and the search for a stronger role
Selenskyj realizes that he cannot count on US support in the White House in the White House, and said last week that it was time to form a European army, since "the old days are over when America only supported Europe because it was always like that". Last week there were only a few signs that Trump bears the interests of Ukraine in the heart. For example, he repeated one of Putin's arguments for the war by saying that the NATO ambitions of Ukraine had triggered the Russian invasion.
shaken European diplomacy
Until a few weeks ago, some European diplomats and foreign policy opinion leaders had expressed that the alarm mood about Trump's re -election was exaggerated and that the unpredictability of the new president could be manageable. The hostility of Hegseth and Vice President JD Vance in Europe was A row. Trump's dismantling of western unity via Ukraine by sending his team to discuss peace without prior consultation with Europe came.
The risks and challenges for Europe
The result of the Ukraine War is almost as crucial for Europe as for Ukraine itself. A peace agreement that strengthens Russia would compare the continent of an encouraged enemy, while the United States threatens to deduct secure guarantees for its allies. The European armed forces, which are difficult to weaken after years of budget cuts, raise doubts as to whether they can maintain an important peace force in Ukraine according to a possible peace agreement.
The need for collaboration
and new promises to increase defense spending could take years to close the gaps and represent an enormous political challenge that could require cuts in the social sector. Nevertheless, the British Prime Minister Keir Strander warned after the Paris talks on Monday that Europe was facing a "unique moment in a generation". In a further sign that the Europeans are trying to organize themselves, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, wrote to X that Ukraine deserves "peace through strength", which reflects Trump's new keyword for his "America First" foreign policy.
strand offered to send British troops to monitor a peace agreement in Ukraine as part of an international force, but with an important condition - that there is a US “reinsurance”, since such a guarantee would be the only way to prevent Russia from being back into Ukraine. His comment shows that European leaders understand that they could expose their troops to the danger and risk their troops without supporting the danger.
Strand, who plans to meet Trump in Washington next week, offers himself as a bridge between the European powers and the US president, while trying to restore the worldwide authority that has disappeared from the European Union since leaving. However, there are two problems: Trump does not seem to be interested in a bridge. And there is little signs that he is really interested in what Europeans think.
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