Alarming forecast: In 2025, many hurricanes threaten to record a record -breaking!

Alarming forecast: In 2025, many hurricanes threaten to record a record -breaking!

The US prime authority NOAA has announced an above-average number of tropical storms above the Atlantic in its current forecast for the 2025 hurricane season. The expectations indicate a probability of 60% that the season broke out more storms than on the perception of several years. This season officially runs from June 1st to November 30th and is expected to be monitored and evaluated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML).

Special attention obtains the high sea temperatures, which are the main factor for the creation of the storms. Up to 19 tropical storms with wind speeds of at least 63 km/h are forecast, and up to 10 of these storms could reach hurricane strength, which means wind gusts of at least 120 km/h. In addition, up to 5 storms are categorized as very strong hurricanes with wind speeds of almost 180 km/h.

Current weather conditions and forecast activity

The NOAA annual forecast shows that in the 2025 hurricane season between 13 and 19 storms named, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 large hurricanes are expected. The main activity is expected to take place in August, September and October. Special conditions that contribute to this active season are warmer sea water and weaker passatable winds. Current SST anomalies in the Main Development Region are above average, but not at a record level, which favors storm activity.

In addition, experts predict that the vertical windshift will be below the normal value, which is an advantage for the hurricanes. Despite these intensive weather conditions, the NOAA does not make any special seasonal predictions for hurricane land, since these depend on weather patterns that are only determined shortly before landing.

climate change and its consequences

Global climate change plays a crucial role in the increase in extreme weather events. A report by Working Group I of the World Climate District (IPCC) from August 2021 emphasizes that the surface temperatures of the earth rise rapidly and extremely weather events such as heavy rain and heat waves increase. Human activities are the main cause of these developments. wwf reported that the increase in hurrikans and other Extreme weather conditions are closely linked to these climatic changes.

The NOAA urgently advises to prepare for the upcoming hurricane season accordingly, which is a fundamental necessity, since the effects of such storms can extend far inside. Advantages should be created, and information on hurricane preparation is available via the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and other organizations.

Overall, the forecast for 2025 shows that we have to make a dangerous and active hurricane season, with the climatic changes unabated to have a decisive influence on the intensity and frequency of these natural events.

For further details on the hurricane forecast, interested parties can find the full report on the website of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center .