US Russia summit: partial victory for Moscow and U-turn for Europe

US Russia summit: partial victory for Moscow and U-turn for Europe

Russia has achieved a little victory, while the Ukraine experiences a slight relief, but remains , and and Europe suddenly gains in importance again.

The USRussland-Talk recently in Riyadh took place, Moscow gave the most reason to be happy. Russia has long (wrongly) presented the war in Ukraine as a NATO attack on Russia. This bilateral meeting contributes to maintaining this wrong representation.

The negotiations have also led to practical results. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio suggested that the American and Russian messages would return to a functional level of personnel after there had been significant mutual statements that were used after the use of a chemical nerve poison against the British former Russian spy Sergei Skripal . This can be interpreted as a step of relaxation on the part of Russia, perhaps with a functional basic idea.

No commitments between Trump and Putin

Russia made no commitments; It is unclear whose ultimate advantage now has. A personal meeting between the President Trump and Putin will be missing for the time being. Such a summit would be the main concern of Trump's peace policy in Ukraine. But in this phase of Russian rehabilitation, it could be more in the immediate interest of Moscow. Such a meeting will not be available so quickly.

reactions from Kyiv

This delay will trigger little joy in Kyiv. The meeting in Riyadh did not end with a promise of the White House - which is pushing to approach Moscow - that Ukraine would make unacceptable concessions in order to quickly complete a bad deal. The entire question of peace in Ukraine is now left to other negotiation teams, which implies possible delays.

Zelensky's disappointment

Wolodymyr Zelensky reacted immediately by Planned visit to Riyadh canceled , where he might have hoped to obtain information from the US Russia summit. Instead, he expressed his displeasure of agreements on Ukraine, which were hit without Ukraine, and explained that he had only learned from the summit from the media. His outcry illustrates his displeasure, which is more aimed at the continuous efforts of the United States to approach Russia than any shocking news from the summit.

Europe's role in peace negotiations

In a separate discussion, there was a short phase of calm last week when a group was sitting in front of a Saudi flag and recognized that Europe would be essential in the upcoming negotiations. Mike Waltz rejected the narrative that Europe and Ukraine were excluded from the peace talks, even if Zelensky contradicted it shortly afterwards

geopolitical changes and challenges

Trump's Ukraine and Russian representative, General Keith Kellogg, said in Munich that the Europeans would not be included in the peace talks due to failed diplomatic efforts in the first wave of the 2015 wave. Europe panicked and started making its own plans. But 72 hours later, the Trump administration wanted to make it clear that Europeans were never irrelevant. The situation will be tightened when the British Prime Minister Keir Kürmer meets Trump in Washington next week.

Putin's strategic advantage

The delay of a quick deal ultimately benefits Putin's interests. During this time, Europe heard the US defense minister explain that the United States was no longer the guarantee of security in Europe, while the Vice President wrongly claimed that Washington's main allies in Europe are totalitarians who were afraid of their own voters. These statements contributed to the fact that Europe had to integrate the unimaginable feeling of deficit in security experiences itself: the protection of European soil from a nuclear-armed Russia without the threat of US forces to ward off Moscow aggression.

long -term challenges for Ukraine

The larger deal between Washington and Moscow is expected to assume even more in favor of Russia. He reinforces Moscow's fictional narrative that you are dealing with an improvocated war against the entire NATO. This means that Ukraine becomes part of a larger deal instead of being the central element of the event. Ultimately, this could also lead to the rehabilitation of Russia in the global order - and thus to economic growth, diplomatic recognition and forgiveness, possibly with limited costs or concessions on the part of Moscow.

The biggest challenge of a slowly forged peace agreement is the front line itself. Russia is promising, albeit painfully slow and expensive progress. Time is currently playing Putin's advantage. The longer the confusion, the adaptations and concern among the allies of Ukraine, the fragile the morality and sovereignty of Ukraine.