Ukrainian attacks: Pro-Kremlin experts warn of nuclear conflict
Ukrainian attacks: Pro-Kremlin experts warn of nuclear conflict
How is Moscow on the impressive Ukrainian drone attack on its strategic Airplanes react? So far, the Kremlin has remained silent and is waiting for a formal examination of the attacks, which have taken the air uses thousands of kilometers of the Ukrainian border.
In the Russian media, resentment is openly expressed. Pro-Kremlin commentators and bloggers are loudly calling for retaliation measures, even nuclear reactions. "This is not just a pretext, but a reason to start nuclear attacks on Ukraine," said the prominent bloggers “two majors” on their popular Telegram channel with over one million subscribers. "After the mushroom cloud you can think about who lied and who was crap," added them and thus alluded to the inevitable search of the Kremlin for scapegoats for the fiasco. A well -known Russian political scientist, Sergei Markov, warned for caution. In a contribution on social media, he warned that the use of nuclear weapons would lead to real political isolation. The popular blogger Alexander Kots, on the other hand, demanded that Russia should "strike with all its might, regardless of the consequences". While Russian Hardliner routinely demands the nuclear annihilation of Ukraine, but ultimately emit empty threats to the western allies, it is not surprising that after such a painful series of attacks, they use this rhetoric again. The recently updated nuclearoctrin of the Kremlin - in which the conditions for an assignment are set - states that every attack on “critically important” military infrastructure, which “disturbs reaction measures of nuclear strength”, could trigger a nuclear counter strike. "The Ukrainian operation was a reason for a nuclear attack '," explained the explosive moderator Vladimir Solovyov on Russian state television and called for attacks on the Ukrainian Presidential Office in Kiev and beyond. No matter what the legality may look like, the hurdle for a Russian nuclear attack remains high, and such a blow would probably be dismissed in Kremlin circles as unrealistic. Such an attack would poison relationships with important trading partners in Russia, such as China and India, and could provoke potential military actions against Russian armed forces. Inevitable massive deaths would certainly cause universal contempt and continue to insulate Russia on the international stage. Moscow on the defensive
warnings of nuclear escalation
the possibility of a serious reaction
However, it would be wrong to feel too safe and dismiss all Russian threats as mere propaganda. In fact, there are worrying reasons to take this thin way of a devastating Russian reaction a little more seriously. Several Russian commentators have noted that the destruction of a significant number of Russian strategic nuclear bombers could be interpreted by Ukraine as a violation of the legal nuclear threshold.
international consequences and pressure on the Kremlin
Russia's military alternatives
The intake of the Ture Kursk region in western Russia by Ukrainian armed forces last year added another strong blow and had the Kremlin struggled to free her own country. In the meantime, weekly, if not daily, drone attacks cause far -reaching disorders to the Russian energy infrastructure and airports, far from the front lines. At the same time, the allies of Ukraine have gradually lifted the restrictions on the use of western weapons against Russia and challenged what was once considered a red lines of Moscow.
There is little doubt that the Kremlin is to react determined, but how? A former Russian minister said CNN that the most likely answer in Moscow would insist in more “barbaric” conventional rocket and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities that people in Ukraine have had to endure for years. "There is no other way because Russia does not have the capacities to start a massive military offensive. They don't have enough staff for that," said Vladimir Milov, a former deputy minister of energy who now lives outside of Russia
"People talk about the possible use of nuclear weapons and so on. I don't think that is on the table. But once again Putin has shown many times that he is back on barbarism and revenge." In other words, very unlikely, but the nuclear option cannot be completely excluded. This conflict in Ukraine has already taken unexpected turns several times, not least the large -scale Russian invasion in 2022.
conclusion: dangers of a provocation
While Ukraine and its supporters enjoy the impressive successes of recent military operations, the stinging of a humiliated and wounded Russian bear could result in dangerous and alarming consequences.