Putin's war plans: BND warns of impending escalation in Europe!

Putin's war plans: BND warns of impending escalation in Europe!

Moskau, Russland - On March 28, 2025, a current analysis of the German Federal Intelligence Service (BND) alerts the international community. According to oe24.at , the fear of war has increased in Europe, and Wladimir Putin is expected to prepare for a large-scale war. This is reported by renowned media such as the "Süddeutsche Zeitung", WDR and NDR. The BND's assessment is that Russia was not weakened by the Ukraine War and continues to pursue imperialist goals.

The BND is convinced that the Russian president is dissatisfied with the current state of Ukraine. The report emphasizes that Russia may strive for a "limited military action against one or more NATO countries" to test NATO. An example of this could be a military intervention in Estonia to test the seriousness of the NATO support obligation, which is anchored in Article 5 of the NATO contract.

military ambitions of Russia

The BND forecast is particularly alarming that the Russian armed forces should be increased to up to 1.5 million soldiers by 2026. This goes hand in hand with a rapidly increasing armaments industry, which increases military spending at "breathtaking pace". The procedure could aim to check the US reaction under Donald Trump's current presidency.

NATO has been facing the challenge since 2014 to restore credible deterrence and defense. As swp-berlin.org , the alliance has made various adjustments in the military area and in the command structure. The necessary adjustments and reforms are required to meet the changed security policy conditions.

challenges of NATO

NATO not only has to react to external threats, but also deal with the challenges of the quick provision and relocation of their armed forces in Europe. A central element is the NATO Readiness Initiative 4-30 from 2018, which aims to make 30 seasons ready for fighter planes, 30 large warships and 30 combat troop battalions within 30 days.

The need to rapid reaction and the improvement of military mobility are central topics, in particular due to adjustments resulting from the 1997 NATO Russia basic files. The NATO countries are increasingly carrying out exercises to relocate larger associations, while challenging discussions about the balance between political control and military decision-making continues to exist.

In view of the current developments and the assessment of the BND, the situation in Europe remains tense. The possible military plans for Russia and NATO's reactions on it could significantly influence the security policy landscape.