Putin celebrates on the day of the victory, but the joy could be short

Putin celebrates on the day of the victory, but the joy could be short

Every year, spring is accompanied by Moscow by clouds, which are saturated with powerful chemicals to ensure cloud -free sky on the occasion of the most important national holiday. However, this year does not threaten rain, but the risk of potentially deadly Ukrainian drone .

safety concerns in front of the parade

In the days before this year's parade on Red Square, several drone attacks have led to air barriers at all four Moscow airports, which increases the nervousness in the Russian capital. In other parts of the Crimea annexed by Russia, local celebrations had to be canceled for acute security reasons. But the main event in Moscow is simply too important to give it up and takes place in the Kremlin under tense circumstances.

meaning of the victory festival

The often spectacular and colorful military parade is reminiscent of the defeat of Nazi Germany by the Soviet Union in World War II and the millions of Russian life that were lost in this conflict. For the Kremlin, however, this event is also a way to display modern Russian firepower and to mobilize patriotic support for the power -hungry President Vladimir Putin.

international guests and geopolitical tensions

This year, for the 80th anniversary, the parade could be particularly valuable for the Kremlin and thus represent a particularly tempting goal for those who want to harm the Kremlin - especially for the increasingly capable Ukrainian drone operators, whose cities suffer from air almost every day. Tens of thousands of patriotic Russians are expected to applaud the tank associations and intercontinental ballistic rockets. Putin has also invited an impressive number of foreign guides, including China's XI Jinping and Brazil's Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to underline his personal return on the world stage.

reactions from Ukraine

Although a large number of international leaders gather, the Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj - who criticized the Russian demand for a three -day ceasefire during the celebrations - does not rule out an attack by his troops or sympathizers within Russia. In a recent speech, Selenskyj warned that Kiev "cannot be responsible for what is happening in Russia" and that "they will not play to create a pleasant atmosphere that enables Putin's outcome from isolation on May 9th."

challenges for the Kremlin

The words of the Ukrainian President, who interprets the Russian Foreign Ministry as a direct threat, overshadows an event that would otherwise mark the significant victories of the Kremlin on the Ukrainian battlefield and in international diplomacy. China remains an important supporter in Russia, and the top -class presence of XI Jinping at the victory parade testifies to the strength of this relationship. The dramatic improvement of relationships with the United States under Trump, whose government seems to be determined to restore friendly economic and diplomatic connections to Moscow.

effects on international cooperation

A current US peace proposal suggested that the Trump government would formally recognize the crimed by Moscow in 2014, which would be annexed as a Russian territory, which would question years of US policy. Trump's fluctuating military support for Ukraine and tariffs on tight US allies have caused unprecedented tensions within western alliance, while they are enthusiastically welcomed in Russia. In an expression of overheated optimism, Russian state-controlled media even speculated that US Foreign Minister Marco Rubio could personally take part in the parade on the "victory day"-together with the North Korean dictator Kim Jong and-although the Kremlin officially refuses to confirm the presence of these personalities.

a dark outlook

But not everything runs according to the plan. The threat of security that hovers over the victory parade in Moscow could anticipate the upcoming challenges for the Kremlin in the ongoing war in Ukraine, which shows little signs of termination. The latest western estimates about Russian losses, which are traditionally kept secret by the Kremlin, approach catastrophic one million dead or injured - a number that is expected to continue to rise as long as the fights are ongoing.

economic difficulties and political uncertainties

There are also alarming signs that the Russian economy, which has been resilient so far, may begin to break, while global crude oil prices, which are essential for Moscow's health insurers, continue to fall and worry about global economic cooling. It is worrying for Moscow that a frustrated Trump-who browned before taking office that he could quickly end the Ukraine War-came across difficulties in this endeavor and is now considering another military support for Ukraine and new sanctions against Moscow. Soon it will celebrate victory in Russia, but beyond the pomp and the ceremony on the Red Square, a Russian victory in Ukraine remains a distant destination.