Putin threatens to consequences for the air strikes in Ukraine

Putin threatens to consequences for the air strikes in Ukraine

For more than three years, Russia has been using its bomber fleet to overthrow Ukraine into the chaos of the war. Kyiv reacted on June 1st and targeted these bombers.

the operation "Spiderweb"

The Operation with the code seed "Spiderweb" was in the planning. Dozens of hidden drones broke out of trucks in Russia and chased to airfields that were thousands of kilometers from Ukraine, where they destroyed at least 12 bombers.

Moscow reacts

Although the operation was an enormous thrust for the morality of Ukraine, many in the country prepared for a retaliation of Moscow. Her fears strengthened when the Russian President Wladimir Putin told his US colleague Donald Trump on Wednesday, that the Kremlin has to "react".

Russia's retaliation

The initial retaliation of Russia began on Thursday evening in the form of a Massive and Rocket attacks on Kyiv and across the country. The Russian Ministry of Defense described the attacks as a "reaction" to Kiev's "terrorist acts". Although the attack was tough, he did not differ qualitatively from what Ukraine has experienced for three years.

The opinion of the civilian population

Olha, a 67-year-old inhabitant of Kiev, who would only like to be named with her first name, said CNN that the attacks on Thursday evening will not be the last retaliation of Russia: "If that is the retaliation, Ukraine will experience many such attacks-even more frequently."

Putin's strategic considerations

Analysts find that Putin is facing several constraints when determining Russia's retaliation. Politically, a large -scale, innovative answer to the "Spiderweb" operation means an admission that Ukraine has hit Russia. The Kremlin tries to avoid this picture at all costs, says Kateryna Stepanenko, analyst for Russia at the Institute for the Study of War, a Think Tank in Washington Dc.

The reaction of the Russian leadership

During a meeting with government ministers on Wednesday, Putin received a long report on recent bridge cocks in Kursk and Brjansk, which was assigned Russia of Ukraine. Apart from Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's reference to "criminal provocations", however, there was no mention of the "Spiderweb" operation. In the reports of the state Russian media about Putin's phone call with Trump, little of Putin's promise was discussed to "react" to the attack by Ukraine. Instead, the reports focused on the results of the latest Peace talks in Istanbul.

claims for retaliation

The Pro War community in the Russian Telegram channels did not miss the opportunity to demand retaliation. Some prominent channels discussed that Kiev's attacks on Moscow nuclear-capable bomber a nuclears Schlag would justify the Ukraine. Others pleaded for the use of the Oreshnik Ballistickete last year.

The possible goals of Russia

A goal could be the security authority of Ukraine, the SBU, which created the "Spiderweb" operation, said Mark Galeotti, a leading Russia analyst. "But that's not something that can be implemented quickly," he warned. "In a way, Putin has already abolished most of the escalation levels that are available to him, which means that he no longer has any clear punishment options."

an ongoing conflict

The Position of Russia could continue to be tense, including the “Ministry of Department of Department, Ministry of Defense, which has attacked a Ukrainian airfield in the western region of Rivne on Sunday - one week after the Ukraine attacks on Russian airfields. The attack was described as "one of the retaliation attacks" for Kiev's "terrorist attacks", which indicates that more may come.

Although Putin may be restricted in his ability to react to the surgery of Ukraine with its own force, this could be irrelevant on the battlefield. "From a political perspective, the Ukrainians show that they are the movable, imaginative and effective actors, while the Russians are brutal rackets that continue to fight in the mud," said Galeotti. "But from a military point of view, that's okay in a way."

progress of the Russian troops

Despite Ukraine's Initiative in relation to headlines and spectacle, Russia still has the initiative on the battlefield. Russian troops have a new front in the northern region Sumy are now only 12 miles away from the capital. On Sunday, Moscow also claimed that his strength for the first time in the central Ukrainian region dnipropetrovsk have penetrated after months of fighting.

the future development

The question remains whether "Putin is willing to accept the damage that arises on the home front in order to drive its slow, everyday advance," said Galeotti. The future also depends on whether Ukraine is planning further "Spiderweb" operations or whether the drone attack was a unique thing.

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When "humiliating" operations like this are continued, Putin is under pressure to provide a reaction that is qualitatively, not only quantitatively different. Galeotti added: "Putin is a product of strong politics. The Kremlin will search for other ways to strike back and show the Russian people that Putin is a great president of his enemy and not a victim of these spectacular Ukrainian attacks."