Erdogan surprisingly: no presidential candidacy 2028!

Erdogan surprisingly: no presidential candidacy 2028!

The Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has surprisingly announced that he will not run again in the presidential elections in 2028. This explanation caused great sensation both in both national and international space. The statement was made during a state visit to Hungary and was confirmed by several media. Erdogan emphasized: "I do not intend to be re -elected or to run again for the presidency." His application for a constitutional change provides for a cooperation with the opposition to develop a "civil constitution" and to improve the reputation of Turkey, as [OE24] (https://www.oe24.at/weltpolpolpolitik/paukenschlag-erdogan-nicht- Mehr-Als-sident-cryande/634324951)

Erdogan, who has been President since 2014 and has been in power for more than 20 years since a systemic change in 2017, has excited the mind with this announcement. The Turkish constitution allows the President to have a maximum of two terms, each of which lasts five years. During the presidential election in May 2023, Erdogan was able to secure his second term in a runoff election. The term of office ends формально 2028, but there is speculation that Erdogan may be working towards a third term, based on the detention of the opposition politician Ekrem Imamoglu, which is considered an indication of his ambitions. According to n-tv there are legal options for this: new elections or a constitutional change.

government system and power distribution

Since 2018, Erdogan has been running a presidential system that strengthens the executive and weakens parliament. Parliamentary control was significantly reduced because classic control options such as a vote of no confidence no longer exist. This new system began with a constitutional reform that was accepted by a majority of voters in 2017. The legislation is now the responsibility of the "Grand National Assembly of Türkiye", which has 600 MPs. A review of the last choice results shows a clear dominance of the AKP, which currently holds 317 seats, while the opposition ends with 133 seats (CHP) and 55 seats (MHP). A constitutional change, on the other hand, requires a two-thirds majority in parliament, which seems to be unlikely, as the bpb notes.

The challenges that the government faces cannot be dismissed. Erdogan's current government coalition does not have enough votes for a constitutional change or for an early election, which would require a three -fifth majority in parliament. Both scenarios could endanger Erdogans ambitious plans. In addition, a partnership with the pro-Kurdish could be crucial to achieve the necessary number of votes.

conclusion and outlook

The political future of Erdogan will decisively depend on how he puts his announcements and plans into practice in the coming years. While he seems to withdraw his demands on power formally, the question remains which strategic maneuvers he will take to maintain his political dominance. The focus on a constitutional change with the support of the opposition could initiate an exciting turn in the political events of Türkiye.