Trump-Umfeld is planning a peace solution for Ukraine War that Putin could like

Trump-Umfeld is planning a peace solution for Ukraine War that Putin could like

In a single contribution, the designated president explained what the end of the Ukraine war could look like. And that becomes a big challenge to express it mildly.

Trump's nomination of General Keith Kellogg

"I am very happy to nominate General Keith Kellogg as the president's assistant and special sentences for Ukraine and Russia," wrote Trump on his truth social channel. "Together we will secure peace through strength and make America and make the world safe again!"

With the appointment of Keith Kellogg as his special sentence for Ukraine, Donald Trump also set up a very specific, in advance announced plan for the most difficult foreign policy problem that is at his side.

Kellogg's peace plan in detail

Kellogg, Trump's 80-year-old former national security advisor, presented his peace plan in detail and wrote for the America First Policy Institute in April. He begins to describe the war as "an avoidable crisis that has been involved in an endless war due to the incompetent policy of the bidet government ... In short, a ceasefire will freeze the front lines and to be forced both sides to step on the negotiating table. But the more detailed explanations reveal the complexity.

Change of US engagement

Kellogg criticizes Biden's actions in detail and says that his administration has provided too little deadly help too late. He emphasizes that Trump's decision to provide the first fatal help for Ukraine in 2018 that conveyed the strength that was necessary to oppose Putin. In contrast to bidges, which demonizes the Kremllleiter, Trump's soft approach will make it possible to achieve a deal.

he advocates that more weapons should be made available before the Russian invasion and immediately afterwards to help Ukraine win.

At this point the plan, such as cnn Trump's soon -to -be national security advisor is problematic for Ukraine.

Kellogg explains that the United States should not get involved in another conflict and that their own armaments have suffered due to the support for Ukraine. This could potentially endanger the country in a conflict with China about Taiwan. He demands that the NATO membership of Ukraine-in truth a very distant goal that Kiev were symbolically offered in solidarity-for an indefinite period of "in exchange for a comprehensive and verifiable peace agreement with security guarantees."

official US policy and further support

Above all, the plan provides that it should be a "formal US policy to find an armistice and a negotiated agreement." Future US aids-presumably as a loan-are said to be tied to negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. The United States will only arm Ukraine to the extent that it can defend itself and stop other Russian advances before and after a peace agreement. This proposal is perhaps inadequate in view of the rapid advance of Moscow in Eastern Ukraine and the already high US aid level that is uncomfortable.

Kellogg sometimes obtains ideas from an article by Richard Haas and Charles Kupchan from 2023.

freezing the front lines

The front lines would be frozen by a ceasefire and a demilitarized zone would be determined. For the admission of these conditions, Russia would receive limited loosening of the sanctions, but complete loosening only if a peace agreement is signed that is acceptable for Ukraine. A tax on Russian energy exports would finance the reconstruction of Ukraine. Ukraine would not be asked to waive the reconquest of occupied areas, but would be committed to pursuing this solely through diplomacy. She accepts that "this requires a future diplomatic breakthrough that will probably not occur before Putin leaves the office."

The plan is tempingly simple and quick in the approach. But he does not take into account what Moscow will demand and what it has done in the past with the diplomatic process: to pursue cynic military progress. Freezing the front lines will lead to a very violent time in the coming months, since Moscow will try to conquer as much area as possible. The Kremlin has ignored ceasefire in the past and pursued its territorial goals - it often denies it simply.

demilitarized zone and challenges

A demilitarized zone would have to be monitored, possibly by NATO troops or soldiers from other neutral nations that stand between the two sides. To say the least, this will be difficult to maintain and occupy. It would be enormous, would extend hundreds of miles and require massive financial resources.

Ukraine to arm the extent that it is prepared against current and future Russian advances will also be demanding. The plan notes that the United States produce 14,000 155mm artillery bullets per month, which Ukraine can consume in just 48 hours. Paradoxically, Kellogg wants the United States to arm Ukraine more, but at the same time accepts that this is not possible in reality.

a change in the values

Two statements provide a broader insight into the thinking of the author. He says that national security, the "America First" method, is about practical necessities.

"Biden replaced the Trump approach with a liberal internationalist, which promoted western values, human rights and democracy," he writes. This is a rather dark basis for creating a compromise for European security.

He adds that some critics of the continued help for Ukraine-to which it apparently counts himself-“concerned, whether the vital strategic interests of America in the Ukraine conflict are at risk, about the potential participation of American military forces and whether America is involved in a deputy war with Russia that could result in a nuclear conflict.”

a deceptive compromise

These two sentences form the background for the proposed agreement: The Ukraine War is an argument about values that we do not have to maintain, and we should withdraw from Putin's nuclear threat. In contrast to the current unit, in which the West prioritizes the values of its own lifestyle and its security, based on the teaching from the thirties that appeased dictators do not stop.

The plan offers Ukraine a welcome opportunity to put an end to violence at a time when it loses all fronts and dramatically suffer from a massive lack of personnel - an obstacle that it may never overcome and in which Russia is probably always exceeding.

But he begins a process in which a cunning and fraudulent Putin will indulge. The use of an armistice and the weakness of the West are his strength that he has been waiting for for almost three years. The plan accepts the fatigue of the West that arms production cannot keep up and that the values of the western values are wasteful. He also hardly takes into account what Russia will do to disturb his vision.

It is a dark compromise for a dark war. But it could not end the conflict and instead open a new chapter in which the unity and support of the West begins to crumble and Putin, both at the negotiating table and at the front.