Russia benefits from chaos, even without mideast allies

Russia benefits from chaos, even without mideast allies

In the heart of the Kremlin there is a long -lasting, unpleasant tension in the complex relationship with the Middle East. On the one hand, Russia traditionally has strong alliances and economic influence there. On the other hand, Russia benefits as one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world when the situation in the energy-rich Region escalates and the markets are unsettled. This is exactly what happens while the Kremlin is watching how its Iranian ally through Israeli air raids is significantly weakened and Russia benefits from the developments at the same time.

The role of Iran for the Kremlin

consequences and international reactions

In addition, a weak but painful humiliation factor can be felt for the Kremlin if it is watching how Another important Middle East-ally suffer from a violent shot without wanting to intervene. In this context, Moscow naturally submitted strong explanations and sentenced Israel's attacks to Iran's nuclear systems as "illegally". Russia pointed out that the attacks "unacceptable threats to international security" create and accuse western countries to exploit the situation for "setting up political invoices".

The uncertainty of alliances in the Middle East

It is certainly true that a collapse of the Iranian regime, which is now apparently a goal of Israel, would extend the list of lost alliances and clientele states in the Middle East for the Kremlin. This already includes Iraq, Libya and finally Syria. But here the unpleasant tension comes back into play: it is not as bad for Moscow as it may first appear. In fact, this current conflict in the Middle East plays the interests of the Kremlin in the cards.

diplomatic opportunities for Russia

In addition to the welcome financial income due to the rising oil prices, the conflict between Iran and Israel also opens up diplomatic opportunities for the Kremlin, which has suffered from international isolation in recent years due to the Ukraine War. Russia has never stopped seeing itself as an important player in international diplomacy, with a lawful place at the table next to the USA and China.

Putin's role as an intermediary

The Kremlin now has a topic that he can work together and productively with the USA. This could offer him the opportunity to emerge as an indispensable partner of the United States in the future stabilization of the region. Wladimir Putin uses his key position as the only important political leader with direct wire to the Iranians, Israelis and the United States and signals his willingness to act as an intermediary. So Russia presents itself as an important power broker in the Middle East.

The relationship between Washington and Moscow

In a recent phone call with the White House, Putin President Donald Trump reminded that Russia was a long -time ally of the United States on questions of the Iranian nuclear program - a clear indication that he is willing to take on such a role again. After the conversation, it turns out that the White House could be open to this idea: Trump said that he was ready to consider the Russian leader as a potential mediator in the conflict.

final thoughts

for the Kremlin-and perhaps also for President Trump-this is a significant advantage. Not so much for the plagued Ukraine, because while the crisis escalates in the Middle East, the US attention seems to distract from the Ongoing War in Ukraine, where the intensive Russian drone attacks ask for devastating.

And for the time being, the focus on the role of the Kremlin as a potential peace piano in the Middle East seems to be transferred, while your own warfare takes a back seat in the home.

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