US message in Kyiv concludes against the background of escalating Ukraine War

US message in Kyiv concludes against the background of escalating Ukraine War

Kiev, Ukraine-the warning of the US message in Kiev caused a sensation. On Wednesday, the message announced that it ordered a one -day closure based on "specific information about a potentially significant air raid." Kiev is haunted by air raids almost every night, but this step of the United States indicates a serious concern that they may be a goal.

consequences for diplomatic relationships

psychological warfare and concern among the population

Mykhailo Podolyak, a high -ranking advisor of President Wolodymyr Selenskyj, told CNN that the obvious fear of war was due to use "elements of psychological influence" after years of war. "The [Moscow] has an instrument, namely fear. It has always been a classic element of Russian politics. They want to create blackmail and panic. I want our partners to handle the information from Russia more carefully," he said.

everyday life in Kyiv and personal fates

The residents of Kiev have trouble to reconcile the specific warning of the United States with the everyday threat to which they are suspended. On Wednesday morning alone there was a 45-minute air alarm, followed by another two and a half hours.

on the central Maidan-Platz, on which a variety of flags for fallen soldiers blow, Anya planted a flag in honor of her father. She is used to air strikes from her homeland Krivyh Rih, but this Wednesday felt different. "To be honest, we went into the basement today during every air alarm signals. It was really frightening," she reported.

The desire for peace in a tense environment

Every flag on the square tells a story of trauma and turmoil in the war. Her father died at the end of October after five months in a coma due to front injuries. "I long for peace, but I want everything to be as before - without Russia. I just want all of this to end."

The threats and the desire for peace are deeply personal for many people in Ukraine, while at the same time the geopolitical risks increase. The US message was forced to make it clear that its closure was not related to the nuanced changes in Russia's nuclear doctrine. Rather, the closure was made out of fear of drone or rocket attacks.

look into the future: escalation or de -escalation?

Both developments, however, illustrate how far this war escalates: a US diplomatic mission that expresses fear of a direct Russian attack and then realizes that it is at least not nuclear. A direct attack on American government facilities in Ukraine would be a serious and possibly reckless step of the Kremlin, which would result in a violent reaction from the United States and trigger a more comprehensive war between NATO and Russia.

It is important to mention that the domestic narrative in Russia says that Moscow is already against the USA and NATO in a major war. However, this is a misleading view, because NATO is upgrading Ukraine to defend it. But that is the narrative that the Kremlin conveys the Russians to justify and explain the catastrophic performance over a thousand days.

kiews uncertain future

While Russia is the aggressor, it is strategically difficult to understand how Moscow can continue to endure the obvious western escalation against its territory without trying any form of deterrent. They gradually seem to make sure that all the red lines that the Kremlin tries to draw in the heat of the conflict disappear.

Kyiv is expected to remain tense. Moscow could specifically attack civilians where Westerners are known to be gathered - be it a large hotel or a district of the capital. Putin will probably not consider his slow success on the front and the upcoming change of power in the White House as a turning point. Rather, he could see the next two months as a test of his patience and determination, with clear rewards in sight.