Syrian rebellion and its effects on power in the Middle East
Syrian rebellion and its effects on power in the Middle East
global actors must now deal with the geopolitical effects of a rebel offensive in Syria, which is led by an Islamist group and potentially the power of President Bashar al-Assad could threaten the country.
The situation in Syria
The goal of the revolution
"When we talk about goals, the goal of the revolution of the fall of this regime remains. It is our right to use all the available funds to achieve this goal," explained Abu Mohammad al-jolani an interview with CNN on Thursday.
regional reactions
Although Assad has many enemies in the region and beyond, his fall would not be welcome from all sides. Western and Arab states as well as Israel would prefer Reduce, but nobody wants to place a radical-Islamist regime in Assad. For Russia, the case of Syria could mean the loss of its closest ally in the Middle East and restrict the ability to project power while it is involved in Ukraine. For Iran, the loss of Syria would be a difficult blow for his as Axis des Resistance known association of allies and militias.
Arab states in focus
The progressive rebels in Syria represent the first real test for the obligation to commit powerful Arab states to reconciliate with Assad. During the highlight of the Syrian civil war, Sunni Arab states, including the regional major powers of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, broke off their relationships with the Iranian-allied Assad regime, tried to isolate and supported opposition groups who tried to overthrow it. They saw this as an opportunity to contain the influence of Tehrans in the region.
The changed position of the Arab states
But Assad, supported by Russia, Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah, survived and lost territory. Under Rel = "NOFOLLOW" TARGET = "_ blank" href = "https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/middleeast/ssyria-drugs-barg-chip-mime-intl/index.html"> Narco-state ", which a Drug crisis in the neighboring countries
The new Arabic course
The New reality of Syriens Assad-Regime was handed over, and in recent years Saudi Arabia and VAE have played a leading role in its regional and international rehabilitation. In 2023 the Syrian regime was again included in the Arab league.
The reactions from Iran
Iran uses Syria to expand its regional influence by proxy groups in the country. The Islamic Republic Rel = "NOFOLLOW" TARGET = "_ blank" https://www.cnn.com/2013/05/25/world/meast/ssyria-violence.html "> played a decisive role with the support of Assads by helping the Syrian government troops back and their own commander send the Islamic Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) to advise Syrian military leadership.
The position of Israel
Israel is also in a difficult location. Assad, who views Israel as an enemy, has not portrayed a direct threat to the country in recent years and chose not to react to the regular Israeli attacks in Syria. Nevertheless, the regime has released its territory for Iran to supply Hezbollah in Lebanon.
The role of Russia
Assad was on the losing road in Syria until the Russian President Vladimir Putin 2015 intervened . Without the Russian air support, the recapture Aleppo in 2016, a turning point for the competitive Syrian president, would have been difficult or impossible.
The Turkish perspective
Turkey has tried to distance itself from the actions of the rebels in northern Syria, but is the main sponsor of the Syrian National Army, one of the groups that drive the offensive. Ankara has also played a role in the negotiations with Russia in recent years to a ceasefire agreement in the year 2020 have led.
The situation in Syria remains highly complex, and developments in the coming months could have profound effects on the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.
Kommentare (0)