Hitzesommer 2025: Scientists warn of extreme temperatures in Europe!

Hitzesommer 2025: Scientists warn of extreme temperatures in Europe!

Europa, Europa - According to current model calculations, Europe is threatening an exceptionally hot summer. Researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) have determined that a heat build-up in the North Atlantic often occurs three years before a heat extreme. This could cause extreme summer temperatures for 2025 to be predicted. The analyzes show that the frequency of heat waves in Europe has doubled since the pre -industrial period. Scientists from the University of Hamburg used a climate model developed by the MPI-M to check the simulations of the European climate over a period of 60 years. 18, above average warm summer, were found and analyzed between 1964 and 2021.

It is particularly alarming that extremely warm summer currently occurs every ten years, while an annual frequency can be expected by the end of the century. The hottest summer since the beginning of the records occurred in 2003, which led to increased deaths, water shortages and serious crop failures. The scientists emphasize that the prediction of such temperatures for human health and the damage limitation is of enormous importance. According to the researchers, the world's oceans, especially the North Atlantic, are very above average, with temperatures that have been reaching the highest daily levels for 40 years.

improved predictive method

An additional after-point experiment for checking the predictive bag was carried out, which compared the predictions with reanalysis observation data. It has been shown that the new method has made more reliable predictions for ten of these above -average warm summer possible. Dr. Lara Wallberg, who checks the methodology, also examines whether regional forms of extremely warm summer in 2003, 2018 and 2022 could have been forecast three years in advance.

In this study, plant growth day was also examined in order to provide the farmers valuable information for the generation. The original publication of the research work is published in the geophysical research letters and can be called up at doi: 10.1029/2024gl11895

climate change affects Europe massively

climate change seems to affect Europe particularly strongly, as the EU climate service Copernicus states in a current report on 2024. This year has been the hottest since the beginning of the records, with no continent heated faster. Particularly high temperatures were registered in the east and southeast of Europe, while Central and Western Europe experienced a rainy year. Strong rainfall led to floods in countries such as Germany, Austria, the Czech Republic, Poland and Spain, whereby over 400,000 people were affected and at least 335 died.

flexibility and adaptation to the climatic changes are essential, according to Celeste Saulo, General Secretary of the World Organization for Meteorology. March 2024 also represented the warmest March in Europe since the beginning of the weather records and was also significantly drier than usual. The data illustrate the urgency with which climate change focuses on and the need for precise weather forecasts for the coming years.

Further information on these developments can be found in the articles of Kleine Zeitung , mpi-m and ZDF .