Trump is pushing at fast Ukraine war end, but there are risks

Trump is pushing at fast Ukraine war end, but there are risks

A moment is currently a vague draft for a peace plan in the Ukraine from. Despite a relative silence with regard to political announcements of the otherwise speech, could Current two weeks will be publicly set. However, it remains unclear whether these are well received in the Kremlin.

latest developments in US politics

Last week, US President Donald Trump officially appointed the 80-year-old, retired General Keith Kellogg as his envoy for Ukraine and Russia. Kellogg almost announced that he would discuss the visions for peace in Ukraine during the Munich Security Conference from February 14th to 16th with allies. Four days later, according to the Ukrainian state media, he is supposed to travel to his first -time first visit to Kiev.

The focus on peace

Kellogg's statements are followed in Kyiv with great attention. He rejected speculation that the framework of a peace plan could be made public during the Munich conference. He told Newsmax: "The one who will present the peace plan is the President of the United States, not Keith Kellogg." It seems that Trump is planning the great unveiling after Kellogg advised himself with the allies in Germany.

unclear details about discussions with Russia

In the past few days, Trump has tried to get the process going. He told the New York Post that he spoke to Russian President Vladimir Putin about an end to the war, but did not provide any details. The Kremlin refused to confirm this call, but spokesman Dmitri Peskov said CNN: "There could be something that I don't know."

planned conversations and possible elections

Unusually, Kellogg's peace plan has been public since April, which offers a stable framework for comparing possible agreements. In short, he stipulates that Ukraine has increased military aid under the reservation of negotiations and an armistice, followed by possible European peace troops on the front.

Kellogg also indicated that a first ceasefire could possibly offer a time for elections in Ukraine if such peace actually applies. This week, a suspected schedule appeared in the Ukrainian media, which proposed a ceasefire around Easter (end of April), a peace conference and a broader agreement in May, but only in August in August. However, this schedule was rejected by the Ukrainian presidency as a false report. Such leaks, real or not, will continue to circulate while all pages are trying to promote or reject ideas.

The role of the Ukrainian President

A call to election is often interpreted in such a way that Zelensky may slowly withdraw in order to offer the Kremlin an incentive to get to the negotiating table. The hostility of the Ukrainian president towards Putin is considerable, especially in view of the destruction that caused the invasion in Ukraine. In addition, Zelensky and the US President had a tense relationship during his first term on the basis of Trump. to examine the bidding family .

future prospects for Ukraine

Zelensky is now in a phase in which the two most influential voices in a peace deal no longer enjoy the broad admiration that he has experienced from the West in the past three years. Rumors about the upcoming elections Designation about Zelensky's future in Kyiv. In his daily speech, he said that he was "safe" that there was "yet" no official peace plan. His high -ranking employees have had talks with Kellogg and Waltz.

The future of Ukraine is currently more difficult by war law, which means that elections are delayed until peace. However, a preliminary ceasefire could create stability and even offer Zelensky the opportunity to venture a fresh start without the complicated past that he has with Trump's first term.

summary

This conflict has proven to be unpredictable. Zelensky was compared to a modern Winston Churchill who gave the West the backing that he did not consider necessary. It would be in accordance with the wild fluctuations of this war if he would withdraw great vulnerability at a moment. Another obstacle to peace is the question of whether the Kremlin wants to peace now or at all. Russia seems to be successful on the battlefield at the moment and could take important cities in eastern Ukraine. It remains uncertain why Russia should freeze its progress on the front, while Ukraine, in the words of a soldier, "don't have much to say".

This week, fragments of a private - or maybe spontaneously conceived - will become public peace plan. Every detail could influence the life of millions of Ukrainians and determine security in Europe for decades. Even Taiwan would be safer if Russia was not encouraged. One can only hope that the shadow of a peace plan is serious enough for the moment.